Bobby Kownack· Oct 10, 2026

Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.

“Count on the Browns to move to 4-1 for the first time since 2020.”

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15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 58.1 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Buffalo BillsOct 10, 2026
Buffalo Bills 30 — Los Angeles Rams 23
“B. Kownack Buffalo Bills 30-23”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 43.52+83.58 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
83.58
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 30–23 calls a Bills win (by 7; the line gave the Bills 38%) and fewer points (53).
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Score Predictions Detroit LionsOct 10, 2026
Detroit Lions 33 — Arizona Cardinals 27
“B. Kownack Detroit Lions 33-27”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+101.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
101.71
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 33–27 calls a bigger Lions win (by 6) and more points (60).
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Score Predictions Denver BroncosOct 10, 2026
Denver Broncos 21 — Los Angeles Chargers 17
“B. Kownack Denver Broncos 21-17”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 36.48+104.59 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-17
skill:
104.59
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
36.48
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and fewer points (38).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksOct 10, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 28 — San Francisco 49ers 27
“B. Kownack Seattle Seahawks 28-27”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 43.62+2.88 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
2.88
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 28–27 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 1) and more points (55).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Atlanta FalconsOct 10, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 23 — Baltimore Ravens 17
“B. Kownack Atlanta Falcons 23-17”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 34.1+24.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
24.07
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 6) and fewer points (40).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New Orleans SaintsOct 10, 2026
New Orleans Saints 20 — Minnesota Vikings 17
“B. Kownack New Orleans Saints 20-17”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 28.28+8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
8.99
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a Saints win (by 3; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (37).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New York GiantsOct 10, 2026
New York Giants 17 — Washington Commanders 14
“B. Kownack New York Giants 17-14”
Close · 68Scored 67.86a naive guess scored 72.91-8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-27
skill:
−8.99
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
67.86
baseline:
72.91
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
0
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 17–14 calls a Giants win (by 3; the line gave the Giants 38%) and fewer points (31).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsOct 10, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 28 — Miami Dolphins 14
“B. Kownack Cincinnati Bengals 28-14”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 35.42+85.28 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
85.28
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 28–14 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 14) and fewer points (42).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cleveland BrownsOct 10, 2026
Cleveland Browns 21 — New York Jets 19
“B. Kownack Cleveland Browns 21-19”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 90.19-84.25 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-17
skill:
−84.25
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
90.19
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 21–19 calls a Browns win (by 2; the line gave the Browns 44%) and more points (40).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Chicago BearsOct 10, 2026
Chicago Bears 28 — Green Bay Packers 18
“B. Kownack Chicago Bears 28-18”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 50-59.33 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
−59.33
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 28–18 calls a bigger Bears win (by 10) and fewer points (46).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansOct 10, 2026
Houston Texans 30 — Tennessee Titans 21
“B. Kownack Houston Texans 30-21”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+118.67 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
118.67
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 30–21 calls a bigger Texans win (by 9) and more points (51).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New England PatriotsOct 10, 2026
New England Patriots 24 — Las Vegas Raiders 21
“B. Kownack New England Patriots 24-21”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-45
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
28
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (45).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Indianapolis ColtsOct 10, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 26 — Pittsburgh Steelers 24
“B. Kownack Indianapolis Colts 26-24”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 73.52-84.25 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
−84.25
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
26.19
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 26–24 calls a Colts win (by 2; the line gave the Colts 41%) and more points (50).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Jacksonville JaguarsOct 10, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 20 — Philadelphia Eagles 14
“B. Kownack Jacksonville Jaguars 20-14”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 96.54-10.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−10.79
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 20–14 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 6) and fewer points (34).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Dallas CowboysOct 10, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 30 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
“B. Kownack Dallas Cowboys 30-20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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What others said about the same people

John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night.
Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 95
Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
Blaine GrisakGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.
Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward.
Derek BrownScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100
Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
Ty SchmitScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two.
Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.
Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 45
Prisco picked the Rams to edge the Bills 34-33 on Monday night.
John BreechScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 40
Breech picked the Rams to beat the Bills 38-31 on Monday night, and after San Francisco's road win in Seattle suggested the NFC West would run through the 49ers.
Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48
Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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