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Zachary PerelesAug 18, 2026

In a piece naming the hottest seat on all 32 teams, Pereles makes a handful of concrete forecasts: the Cowboys make the playoffs if their defense is merely average, Blake Miller starts at right tackle for the Lions, Jonah Savaiinaea is the Dolphins' starting right guard, and Kyler Murray is Minnesota's starter.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting6 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 6Settled6 still waiting
6Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If Dallas is middle of the pack -- or really just mediocre -- defensively, it will be a playoff team.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL hot seat for all 32 teams, including 13 former first-round picks and one rookie under the most pressure
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart“Kyler Murray winning the Vikings' starting quarterback job wasn't a surprise, but it wasn't the smoothest sailing, either.”
  2. 2Penei Sewell to be 1st on the depth chart“Miller will slot in at right tackle as Penei Sewell switches to the left side for the Lions.”
  3. 3Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart“he's already in the hot seat as the presumed starter”
  4. 4Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart“Miller will slot in at right tackle as Penei Sewell switches to the left side for the Lions.”
  5. 5Jonah Savaiinaea to be 1st on the depth chart“Savaiinaea is the clear starter at right guard, but if he doesn't improve significantly from his rookie season, he might not be there for long.”
  6. 6Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs“If Dallas is middle of the pack -- or really just mediocre -- defensively, it will be a playoff team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls————
Penei Sewell to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
Jonah Savaiinaea to be 1st on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs6Playoff Picks————
6 calls · 6 waiting——

How each call scored

6 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Kyler Murray · 2026 season

11 calls from 11 pundits between 1 and 2. Zachary Pereles said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Zachary Pereles — 1the room — 11 calls from 11 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

1They said
1The room (42 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsPenei SewellDetroit Lions

    Penei Sewell to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaAtlanta Falcons

    Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsBlake MillerDetroit Lions

    Blake Miller to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsJonah SavaiinaeaMiami Dolphins

    Jonah Savaiinaea to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Playoff PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.