Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 5, 2025
Brockman said Russell Wilson is not a Hall of Famer, then delivered a top five list of teams that absolutely cannot win the Super Bowl (Giants, Titans, Browns, Colts, Saints), predicted the Saints get the No. 1 pick next year, the Browns pick in the top five, Joe Flacco won't be a starter in October, and Myles Garrett could win Defensive Player of the Year again.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 close call · all settled
87.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
94.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Saints have absolutely 0.0 less than Blutarski chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Brockman's Top 5 Teams That Cannot Win The Super Bowl This NFL Season
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidAug 5, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Cleveland Browns to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)“The Browns absolutely cannot win. They play in an impossible division. I'm sorry. They're gonna be picking in the top five.”
- 2New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1“I would bet a serious amount of money that they're gonna have the number one pick in the draft next year”
- 3Joe Flacco to be 2nd on the depth chart“Flacco, if if he makes it out of September alive, I'll be shocked, man. I will be shocked if he's a starter in October.”
- 4Russell Wilson to be 2nd on the depth chart“They got a quarterback in Russell Wilson, who is on the last legs of his career. Probably only gonna play half the year, it may be less than before a rookie goes in there.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)1 | Team Draft Slot Calls | Picked at 9 | 84.09 | 100 | −31.82 | |
| New Orleans Saints to pick at number 12 | Team Draft Slot Calls | Picked at 8 | 73.84 | 95.76 | −43.84 | |
| Joe Flacco to be 2nd on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 91.67 | 91.67 | 0 | |
| Russell Wilson to be 2nd on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 100 | 91.67 | +16.67 | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 87.4 | 94.8 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 87.4 out of 100, against 94.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickpicking in the top five (picks 1–5)They said
9What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Team Draft Slot CallsCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)
What happenedPicked at 984.09Hit · naive 10084.09this call−100a naive guess=−15.91worse than naive×2difficulty=−31.82skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 5 the year before
- skill:
- −31.82
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 100
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- picking in the top five (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Team Draft Slot CallsNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1
What happenedPicked at 8called 173.84Close · naive 95.7673.84this call−95.76a naive guess=−21.92worse than naive×2difficulty=−43.84skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- NO
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 9 the year before
- skill:
- −43.84
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 95.76
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Depth Chart CallsJoe FlaccoCleveland Browns
Joe Flacco to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 2 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 91.6791.67this call−91.67a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Flacco
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Depth Chart CallsRussell Wilson
Russell Wilson to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 91.67100this call−91.67a naive guess=8.33better than naive×2difficulty=+16.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
87.4naive 94.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Zamir White · Miss 0
Ross Jackson gives their final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be.Doug Joubert · Roster Spot Calls · Charlie Smyth · Hit 100
Joubert projects the Saints' 53-man roster ahead of the cutdown deadline, naming every player they expect to make the team by position group, plus several players they expect to receive PUP/IR designations, and predicting Torricelli Simpkins will later be moved to the practice squad.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Charlie Smyth · Hit 100
Ross Jackson lays out their early defensive 53-man roster projection for the 2026 Saints, naming five edge rushers, four interior defensive linemen, five cornerbacks, five linebackers and five safeties, plus their kicker, punter and long snapper, and sends Mike Heldman, Chris Rumph and Jackson Sirmon to the practice squad.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Jordyn Tyson · Hit 100
Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.Jacob Herlin · Depth Chart Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter.