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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.2% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
26–50 of 574
277 / 574
graded
297 still pending
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver
But Michael Wilson goes there... Jacksonville over Denver.
New York Giants to beat Rams
Are you flirting with an outright win for your Giants? Absolutely... I'll pick it. Yes. I'll pick it.
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
Sorry, Cincinnati, but give me the Texans.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I have them going twelve and five winning the division
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
I'm gonna say, I think the Bears will win. I think Caleb will be fine.
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
We're putting 12 chips down on the Bears.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos
The Jags are better. They went to Denver last year and curb stomped them... They're gonna win outright.
New York Jets to beat Packers
Jets over the Packers. Wow. Straight up.
Washington Commanders defense to be ? in the league
I thought the defense was gonna be a bottom six or seven defense in football.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Colts
I agree with you guys because I think they can ride Kenneth Walker to victory against the Colts.
Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
So I'm gonna take two chips and I'm gonna put it on the Denver Broncos... but I believe in the Broncos.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
They're a team that I feel like is gonna make the postseason.
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
first and foremost, I feel real silly if I didn't pick that team to win the AFC.
Washington Commanders to finish with 5–6 wins
I thought the commanders would be a I think I had him going five and twelve or six and eleven
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
this year, I have them going twelve and five winning the division and being really good.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
And of all my 14 playoff picks, I am most nervous, deep sleeper accepted, about the Patriots.
Houston Texans to beat Bengals
So I guess we're gonna make a clean sweep in that I also am leaning Texans.
Detroit Lions to win the division
Now I picked them to win the division. I still feel fine about that. I think they can win the division?
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
The good news is I do see a bit of a bounce... I think he'll be solid. I think they will win
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
I mean, they're a contender. I like, if they get to the Super Bowl, I won't be shocked or anything, but, no, I feel good about the Ravens.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
So I think I feel fine about them making the playoffs, and their schedule's not that tough outside of the division.
Atlanta Falcons to beat expectations
That gentleman is starting officially for Atlanta. They're still my deep sleeper.
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
I'm a put two chips. I'm not gonna get too excited and put more than two chips on the Bears, but I got two chips on the Bears.
Green Bay Packers to beat Jets
Jets grounded. Jordan Love and the Packers fly past New York.
Colin Simmons to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
can Texas get pressure? Right? Colin Simmons is a first round pick.