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Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as their upset alert, and said they still feel good about the Ravens winning the AFC.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · 3 waiting
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Now I picked them to win the division. I still feel fine about that.
Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Bills beat Lions, Week 2 Upset Alert and Nick’s Picks, Will Mahomes have a ‘monster game’?
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Vikings“I'm gonna say, I think the Bears will win. I think Caleb will be fine.”
  2. 2Houston Texans to beat Bengals“Sorry, Cincinnati, but give me the Texans.”
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver“But Michael Wilson goes there... Jacksonville over Denver.”
  4. 4New England Patriots to beat Steelers“The good news is I do see a bit of a bounce... I think he'll be solid. I think they will win”
  5. 5Detroit Lions to win the division“Now I picked them to win the division. I still feel fine about that. I think they can win the division?”
  6. 6Detroit Lions to make the playoffs“So I think I feel fine about them making the playoffs, and their schedule's not that tough outside of the division.”
  7. 7Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“I mean, they're a contender. I like, if they get to the Super Bowl, I won't be shocked or anything, but, no, I feel good about the Ravens.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings1Game Outcome PicksVikings 9–3000
Houston Texans to beat Bengals2Game Outcome PicksBengals 20–6000
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver3Game Outcome PicksBroncos 20–130100−194
New England Patriots to beat Steelers4Game Outcome PicksPatriots 20–31001000
Detroit Lions to win the division5Division Winners————
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs6Playoff Picks————
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl7Conference Champions————
7 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · 3 waiting2550

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

7 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 division winner and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 25 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Vikings

    What happenedVikings 9–3Vikings at Bears
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5 · favorite pick, Bears about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Bengals

    What happenedBengals 20–6Bengals at Texans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 57%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver

    What happenedBroncos 20–13Jaguars at Broncos
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    −194
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Steelers

    What happenedPatriots 20–3Steelers at Patriots
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Division WinnersDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Playoff PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  7. 7Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 50

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

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