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Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started their last NFL game.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · 2 waiting
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think this is the last game Deshaun Watson ever starts in the NFL.
Danny Parkins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Bills beat Lions, Week 2 Upset Alert and Nick’s Picks, Will Mahomes have a ‘monster game’?
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20–21
  3. GradedSep 21–22
  1. 1New York Giants to beat Rams“Are you flirting with an outright win for your Giants? Absolutely... I'll pick it. Yes. I'll pick it.”
  2. 2Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos“I'm gonna put four chips on the Jacksonville Jaguars... I think Jacksonville gets this game out right.”
  3. 3Chicago Bears to beat Vikings“We're putting 12 chips down on the Bears.”
  4. 4Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans“going five on the Bengals... I like Cincinnati outright.”
  5. 5Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl“first and foremost, I feel real silly if I didn't pick that team to win the AFC.”
  6. 6Deshaun Watson to be 2nd on the depth chart“I think this is the last game Deshaun Watson ever starts in the NFL.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Giants to beat Rams1Game Outcome PicksRams 28–60100−194
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos2Game Outcome PicksBroncos 20–130100−194
Chicago Bears to beat Vikings3Game Outcome PicksVikings 9–3000
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans4Game Outcome PicksBengals 20–61000+194
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl5Conference Champions————
Deshaun Watson to be 2nd on the depth chart6Depth Chart Calls————
6 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · 2 waiting2550

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 25 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Deshaun Watson · 2026 season

27 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 2. Danny Parkins said 2. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Danny Parkins — 2the room — 27 calls from 18 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Rams

    What happenedRams 28–6Giants at Rams
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5 · underdog pick, Giants 28%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    −194
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Broncos

    What happenedBroncos 20–13Jaguars at Broncos
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.94difficulty−194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    −194
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Vikings

    What happenedVikings 9–3Vikings at Bears
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5 · favorite pick, Bears about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Texans

    What happenedBengals 20–6Bengals at Texans
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Bengals 43%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Conference ChampionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 50

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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