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98.25% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 11 of 30 articles (1 higher, 10 lower) · when its writers strayed: 58.4 accuracy (10 settled)
Outside the room in 6 of 14 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 68.6 accuracy (6 settled)
626–650 of 1,292
676 / 1,292
graded
616 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 36 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 61.6 accuracy (5 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 32 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 13.8 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 16 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 16 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 52.1 accuracy (2 settled)
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7
Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, the I I think the the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001, his first year starter. That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
But this guy, even with his annual, I have to miss four to six weeks injury still gonna get a thousand yards.
Jordan Love to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Love goes in the top 10.
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.
Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 18 touchdowns
Mike Evans to record 15 receiving tds
Mike Evans with with Josh Allen would be great. It'd be, like, 15 touchdowns. Book it.
Mike Evans to move
one of the big names out there is Mike Evans. Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
So then who who's two in your mind? Yeah. You know, I I I so I think it's gonna be Tye Simpson out of Alabama.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
One is obviously the, de facto first overall selection in Fernando Mendoza, and then there's you who played in the final game of college football this year.
George Pickens to move to Dallas Cowboys
So 28,000,000. ... I think he's gonna sign it. And if you're the cowboys, I think you reasonably have to ask ... I don't think the Cowboys wanna work out a long term deal.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
He's gonna go number one and invest a lot to him. ... talking about, you know, obviously, going to the Raiders, that's gonna be the best selling jersey in the NFL next year
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
I mean, I think Tysons is gonna be the second one, and I'm excited to see him throw.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
So Fernando Mendoza will check the box... Well, I just think with the Raiders, it's we've you know, it feels like Mendoza is the guy there.
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
I I tend to think if it's close, they probably go with an edge rusher... Like, I think David Bailey at this point in time is where I would peg them.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Styles goes... We love his top 10. Right? Like, there's no question he he doesn't come out of the top 10.
Brandon Thompson to lead his drill at the combine
these wide outs, Brandon Thompson's gonna, you know, challenge the 40 record