Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 2, 2026

Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 9calls landed8 hits · 1 miss · 6 waiting
91Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
47A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 15Settled6 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
NFL Combine Takeaways, Draft & Free Agency Predictions
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidMar 2
  2. GradedAug 13–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks6010
Position Order Calls2000
Player Season Numbers0003
Depth Chart Calls0001
Trade and Signing Calls0001
Season Win Totals0001
All8016

How each call scored

15 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 3 player season numbers, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 91 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Arizona Cardinals · 2026 season · wins

6 calls from 4 pundits between 1 wins and 9 wins. Chris Brockman said 9 wins. the room's median is 3 wins. not settled yet

Chris Brockman — 9 winsthe room — 6 calls from 4 punditsmedian 3 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks6 hits · 1 missShow ▸

  1. Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)

    “four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”

    Sonny Styles

    Went 7
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  2. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    “Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”

    Kenyon Sadiq

    Went 16
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 20 (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  3. Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)

    “Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”

    Carnell Tate

    Went 4
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  4. Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    “Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”

    Eli Stowers

    Went 54
    22.93Miss
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Eli Stowers
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    22.93
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    54
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    22.93
    predicted pick:
    top 20 (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  5. Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)

    “four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”

    Caleb Downs

    Went 11
    95.76Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  6. Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)

    “four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”

    Arvell Reese

    Went 5
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  7. Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”

    Ty Simpson

    Went 13
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls2 hitsShow ▸

  1. Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”

    Fernando Mendoza

    100Hit

    100 − 33.08 naive = 66.92 × 1 difficulty = +66.92 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    66.92
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

    “A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”

    Ty Simpson

    100Hit

    100 − 39.7 naive = 60.3 × 1 difficulty = +60.3 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    60.3
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers3 waitingShow ▸

  1. Mike Evans to record 15 receiving tds

    “Mike Evans with with Josh Allen would be great. It'd be, like, 15 touchdowns. Book it.”

    Mike EvansBuffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  2. Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards

    “Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001, his first year starter. That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  3. Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds

    “Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 18 touchdowns”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸

  1. Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him”

    Ty Simpson

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸

  1. Mike Evans to move

    “one of the big names out there is Mike Evans. Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.”

    Mike Evans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸

  1. Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins

    “the handsome man, Jimmy g. He's gonna have the cardinals over 500 next year.”

    Arizona Cardinals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these