Chris Brockman· Mar 2, 2026
Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay.
“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
15 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 3 player season numbers, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
9 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 79.9 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 1.
Where this call stands in the room
Arizona Cardinals · 2026 season · wins7 calls from 5 pundits between 1 wins and 9 wins. Chris Brockman said 9 wins. the room's median is 3 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 2, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsFernando MendozaMar 2, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
- skill:
- 66.92
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 33.08
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsMar 2, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateMar 2, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Position Order CallsTy SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
- skill:
- 60.3
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 39.7
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 20 (picks 1–20)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksEli StowersMar 2, 2026
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Eli Stowers
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 22.93
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 54
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 22.93
- predicted pick:
- top 20 (picks 1–20)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseMar 2, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvel Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Season Win TotalsArizona CardinalsMar 2, 2026
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins
“the handsome man, Jimmy g. He's gonna have the cardinals over 500 next year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Player Season NumbersMike EvansBuffalo BillsMar 2, 2026
Mike Evans to record 15 receiving tds
“Mike Evans with with Josh Allen would be great. It'd be, like, 15 touchdowns. Book it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds
“Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 18 touchdowns”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsTy SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
“Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001, his first year starter. That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsMike EvansMar 2, 2026
Mike Evans to move
“one of the big names out there is Mike Evans. Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Ralph VentreRoster Spot Calls · Christian BenfordMiss · 0Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated.
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.