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Rich Eisen· Mar 2, 2026

Eisen agreed four Ohio State players would go top-10, named several other prospects he expects in the top 10, predicted Jeremiah Love would not fall out of the top five, and said Arvel Reese would go no later than seventh. He called the tight-end and Ty Simpson takes overreactions.

“I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 82.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

J.J. McCarthy · 2026 season

15 calls from 11 pundits between 1 and 3. Rich Eisen said 1. the room's median is 2. not settled yet

Rich Eisen — 1the room — 15 calls from 11 punditsmedian 2

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top 10 (picks 1–10)They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    “I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top five (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Mendoza goes in the top 10.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7

    “Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, the I I think the the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvel Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “I think, Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordan Love to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    “Love goes in the top 10.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards

    “But this guy, even with his annual, I have to miss four to six weeks injury still gonna get a thousand yards.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart

    “100%, JJ McCarthy is our starter. He is our first weak guy”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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