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Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 11 graded calls in 5 articles, Seth Rollins scores 67.57% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.6, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 24 calls · one square per call
3hits27% of graded
4Close36%
4misses36%
13
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
11 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from Seth Rollins, including the ones still waiting →
Miami Dolphins to beat Jets
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Seth Rollins isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“They're gonna finish ahead of the Jets. That's a guarantee right now.”
“Well, you know, I put them in my top 10 yesterday. I did put them there. I think they're gonna be a good team.”
Ja'Marr Chase to record 2,000 receiving yards
“He, you know, he could go for 2,000 this season.”
Puka Nacua to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards
“You could have had Puka in the top six.”
Chicago Bears to beat niners
“So week 16, your bears come to play my niners... Bear up, bear down. You don't stand a chance.”
Caleb Williams to win MVP
“Caleb for MVP.”
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“We know this Steelers team finishes at 500 or better every year no matter what... So I think you add in a few extra wins to that”
Washington Commanders to win the division
“I think they're the class of the NFC East.”
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
“Ben Johnson coach of the year.”
“my twenty twenty five NFL power rankings... we're gonna start at 10... Aaron Rodgers is going to make a difference in Pittsburgh... San Francisco forty niners at nine... the Cincinnati Bengals... The Detroit Lions at seven... the Washington Commanders... The Buffalo Bills at number five... Kansas City Chiefs. Four... Number three, I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens... number two, the Philadelphia Eagles... Number one... The Chicago Bears”
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“It doesn't he's gonna go number one. I'm actually more certain, I think than you guys are that he's gonna go number one... They're gonna take him number one, I think”