Tom StrachanAug 29, 2026
In a 2026 fantasy draft strategy piece for the 1.11 pick, Strachan targets CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, Saquon Barkley and Ashton Jeanty as values at that spot (with Jeanty capable of a top-five fantasy finish), while warning off Brock Bowers, Trey McBride and De'Von Achane at that cost.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Tom Strachan said
It's not hard to imagine a world where Jeanty is a top-five fantasy performer.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft: How to Approach Pick 1.11 (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Fantasy Bust Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
How each call scored
10 checkable claims — 4 sleeper calls, 3 fantasy bust calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Kyler Murray · 2026 season7 calls from 7 pundits between 1 and 1. Tom Strachan said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Sleeper Calls4 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.11)
“If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (1.11)
“there are reasons for optimism in 2026... Jefferson should be fine if his catchable target rate increases and he sees a bump in volume.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.11)
“With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (1.11)
“One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fantasy Bust Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (1.11)
“Players to Avoid at 1.11 Fantasy Football Draft Pick... De'Von Achane (RB – MIA)... it's hard not to be concerned that his numbers in the receiving game could dip significantly without Tua Tagovailoa”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.11)
“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.11)
“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Saquon Barkley to be 1st on the depth chart
“Barkley is the undoubted No. 1 RB in an offense that will score points”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Positional Finishes1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“It's not hard to imagine a world where Jeanty is a top-five fantasy performer.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys, De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins, Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings, Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals, Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles, Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders, Kyler Murray, Ashton Jeanty
Others on the same people
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · RJ Harvey · Hit 100
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.