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Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 10 graded calls in 4 articles, Akbar Gbaja-Biamila scores 38.1% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -33.56, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 13 calls · one square per call
4hits40% of graded
2Close20%
4misses40%
3
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
10 graded calls in 4 articles, newest first. Every take from Akbar Gbaja-Biamila, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Buffalo Bills 20
“the Kansas City Chiefs are going to score twenty eight points and the Buffalo Bills twenty points”
Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5, total 49.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 8) and fewer points (48).
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“Yeah, because I've got the Washington Commanders. That's what I know for sure. The Washington Commanders are winning this game.”
Closing line (Jan 26): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (31%).
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“The Eagles, the Lions. I've been talking about the Lions, and you know, I do the Lion King chant because I believe that they're going to the super Bowl.”
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay Packers
“I'm going Jalen Hurts is going to take care of business. The truth is they're gonna win this game.”
Closing line (Jan 12): Eagles by 5.5 · favorite pick, Eagles about 2 in 3 (69%).
Saquon Barkley to record 210.5 rushing yards
“He's gonna rush for two hundred and ten point five.”
Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos
“I think Josh Allen goes out here and he just outplays, he outplays the Denver Broncos. They don't put up enough point to actually win this game.”
Closing line (Jan 12): Bills by 7.5 · favorite pick, Bills 78%.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“I've been talking about the Lions, and you know, I do the Lion King chant because I believe that they're going to the Super Bowl.”
“at the number three spot, I've got Washington... Number two, the Green Bay Packers... We're talking about the Minnesota Vikings... I see Vikings.”
Washington Commanders to beat Buccaneers
“I do think though, that the Commanders will end up beating the Buccaneers in that first game.”
Closing line (Jan 12): Buccaneers by 3 · underdog pick, Commanders 41%.
“But I've got Broncos, Steelers and Chargers... I like the Chargers to go really far and compete with the Kansas City Chiefs.”