Akbar Gbaja-BiamilaJan 24, 2025
They picked the Chiefs to beat the Bills 28-20 in the AFC Championship on situational football, but also predicted the Washington Commanders would win the NFC Championship Game over the Eagles.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Akbar Gbaja-Biamila said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I'm giving my final score in this game, which is the Kansas City Chiefs are going to score twenty eight points and the Buffalo Bills twenty points.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- GMFB Friday Hour 1: Bills/Chiefs, Bold Predictions, and Charles Davis!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 24, 2025
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Buffalo Bills 20“the Kansas City Chiefs are going to score twenty eight points and the Buffalo Bills twenty points”
- 2Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles“Yeah, because I've got the Washington Commanders. That's what I know for sure. The Washington Commanders are winning this game.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Buffalo Bills 201 | Score Predictions | — | 88.1 | 98.28 | −10.18 | |
| Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −100 | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled | 44.1 | 99.1 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 44.1 out of 100, against 99.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Buffalo Bills 20
VerdictHit88.1Hit · naive 98.2888.1this call−98.28a naive guess=−10.18worse than naive×1difficulty=−10.18skillClosing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5, total 49.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 8) and fewer points (48).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 29-32
- skill:
- −10.18
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 98.28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 8
2Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1difficulty=−100skillClosing line (Jan 26): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (31%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 23-55
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
44.1naive 99.1
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.