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Akbar Gbaja-BiamilaJan 10, 2025

Akbar predicted the Eagles would beat the Packers, that Josh Allen would outplay Denver and the Bills would win, and jokingly predicted Saquon Barkley would rush for 210.5 yards against Green Bay.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Akbar Gbaja-Biamila said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm looking at Jalen Hurts. I'm going Jalen Hurts is going to take care of business. The truth is they're gonna win this game.
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 2: Eagles Concerns, NFL Honors Annoucement, and Bold Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay Packers“I'm going Jalen Hurts is going to take care of business. The truth is they're gonna win this game.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos“I think Josh Allen goes out here and he just outplays, he outplays the Denver Broncos. They don't put up enough point to actually win this game.”
  3. 3Saquon Barkley to record 210.5 rushing yards“He's gonna rush for two hundred and ten point five.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay Packers1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Saquon Barkley to record 210.5 rushing yards3Player Season Numbers2,005000
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.766.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay Packers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Eagles by 5.5 · favorite pick, Eagles about 2 in 3 (69%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Bills by 7.5 · favorite pick, Bills 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Player Season NumbersSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    Saquon Barkley to record 210.5 rushing yards

    What happened2,005called 210.5
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    676.32
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    2005
    player:
    Saquon Barkley
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    210.5
    statistic:
    rushing_yards
    difficulty:
    1
    last season:
    962
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    position average:
    390.64
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 66.7

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