Akbar Gbaja-BiamilaJan 7, 2025
Akbar ranked the AFC wild card teams Chargers, Steelers, Broncos and the NFC trio Vikings, Packers, Commanders, while predicting Washington beats Tampa Bay in the wild card round and that the Lions reach the Super Bowl.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Akbar Gbaja-Biamila said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI still believe in the Vikings... They win and they go far. I see Vikings.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Playoff underdogs! Reviewing Preseason Predictions
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 7, 2025
- GradedAug 7–17, 2026
- 1Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl“I've been talking about the Lions, and you know, I do the Lion King chant because I believe that they're going to the Super Bowl.”
- 2Washington Commanders to beat Buccaneers“I do think though, that the Commanders will end up beating the Buccaneers in that first game.”
- 3Power Rankings“at the number three spot, I've got Washington... Number two, the Green Bay Packers... We're talking about the Minnesota Vikings... I see Vikings.”
- 4Power Rankings“But I've got Broncos, Steelers and Chargers... I like the Chargers to go really far and compete with the Kansas City Chiefs.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 0 | 100 | −100 | |
| Washington Commanders to beat Buccaneers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| “at the number three spot, I've got Washington... Number two,…”3 | Power Rankings | — | 75 | 25 | +50 | |
| “But I've got Broncos, Steelers and Chargers... I like the…”4 | Power Rankings | — | 75 | 0 | +75 | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · 1 miss · all settled | 62.5 | 31.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 power rankings, 1 conference champion and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 31.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked DET0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1difficulty=−100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
2Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat Buccaneers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 12): Buccaneers by 3 · underdog pick, Commanders 41%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“at the number three spot, I've got Washington... Number two, the Green Bay Packers... We're talking about the Minnesota Vikings... I see Vikings.”
VerdictClose75Close · naive 2575this call−25a naive guess=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 50
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“But I've got Broncos, Steelers and Chargers... I like the Chargers to go really far and compete with the Kansas City Chiefs.”
VerdictClose75Close · naive 075this call−0a naive guess=75better than naive×1difficulty=+75skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 75
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
62.5naive 31.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More power rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Rich Eisen · Power Rankings · Close 50
Eisen endorsed the Eagles' defense carrying them to the NFC championship and the Rams being the NFL's best team, but predicted the NFC North sends only Green Bay and Detroit to the playoffs, that Kansas City wins five of its last seven, that the 49ers make the playoffs, that Baltimore wins the AFC North, and that Tampa Bay wins the NFC South with both the Bucs and Panthers losing their upcoming NFC West road games.Chris Brockman · Power Rankings · Close 50
Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.Nick Wright · Power Rankings · Miss 0
The host's five Week 9 NFL picks: Detroit over Minnesota, Pittsburgh +3 vs. Indianapolis, San Francisco over the Giants, Kansas City over Buffalo at Buffalo, and Seattle over Washington. They also call the Chiefs the best team in the league and Jonathan Taylor the NFL's best running back this year.