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Leaderboard / Ayrton Ostly

Ayrton Ostly

Writes at Locked On 49ers (podcast)

Not ranked yetBuilding a record: 5 graded articles

54.86MissedTakes Scorevs a naive guess · 0 = no better

72.38%Accuracyhow often the calls landed

17Graded callsacross 5 articles

11Waitingnot graded yet

Every graded call, continued · page 2

HitCloseMissWaiting

17 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first — page 2 of 2. Every take from Ayrton Ostly, including the ones still waiting →

Mar 5, 2026
Ausley says Utah tackle Spencer Fano will be gone inside the top 12 picks and that a team will trade up into the first round for quarterback Ty Simpson.Mock Draft Picks · 2 calls
2 hits · 2 of 2 graded calls landed
Show the 2 graded callsHide the grading
- Spencer Fano to be picked “top 12” (picks 1–12)
  “I'm I'm gonna go on record. Spencer Fano is not making it outside of the top 12. He's he's he's gonna be long gone.”

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50

How this was scored

draft:: 2026
naive:: a shuffled mock scores 50
player:: Spencer Fano
season:: 2026
zero credit this far off:: 32
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 50
actual pick:: 9
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
pick accuracy:: 100
predicted pick:: top 12 (picks 1–12)
weeks left when called:: 0
mock ordering score:: only one pick — no order to score

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Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

“If Jackson Dart's gonna be a late first round pick, there's definitely going to be a team that's willing to move up to get tied [Ty].”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50

How this was scored

draft:: 2026
naive:: a shuffled mock scores 50
player:: Ty Simpson
season:: 2026
zero credit this far off:: 32
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 50
actual pick:: 13
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
pick accuracy:: 100
predicted pick:: first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:: 0
mock ordering score:: only one pick — no order to score

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Feb 26, 2026

Ostley predicts Mississippi State receiver Brandon/Brennan Thompson runs the fastest 40-yard dash at the combine, expects Mac Jones to be traded to the Vikings, and offers combine performance expectations for several prospects.Combine Measurements · 4 calls

1 hit · 3 waiting

Show the call and its gradingHide the grading

Gabe Jacas to post more than 30 reps on the bench press at the combine
“he's reportedly, he can hit more than 30 reps on the bench press at six three two seventy”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
claim:
more than 30 reps on the bench press
drill:
bench reps
naive:
the EDGE median (28) misses it
skill:
100
player:
Gabe Jacas
result:
30
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
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