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Writes at Locked On 49ers (podcast)
Across 17 graded calls in 5 articles, Ayrton Ostly scores 72.38% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 54.86, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 28 calls · one square per call
8hits47% of graded
4Close24%
5misses29%
11
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
17 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Ayrton Ostly, including the ones still waiting →
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Ayrton Ostly isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Peter Woods to be picked at number 28
“you have Peter Woods mocked one pick after Caleb Lomu. You got him going number 28 for the Houston Texans.”
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“For the in the first round, number 27 overall, the San Francisco forty niners take offensive tackle Caleb Lomu, Utah youths.”
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 37
“He has him marked number thirty seventh overall to the New York Giants.”
Zion Young to be picked at number 30
“And you got Zion Young from Missouri, Dwayne's guy, going to the Los Angeles Chargers at 30.”
Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 62
“40 move back to 62 overall and take edge Malachi Lawrence out of UCF.”
Victor Payne to be picked at number 133
“you have them at one thirty three taking VJ Payne out of Kansas State”
R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 58
“I have the San Francisco forty niners trading out of number 58 overall because the Denver Broncos hop on the phone and go, hey. We want Edge, our Mason Thomas out of Oklahoma.”
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29
“and then his teammate, TJ Parker, 29 to the Kansas City Chiefs”
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“the Arbel Reese move, which is who you have mocked to the Cardinals at three”
Gabe Akas to be picked “mid second rounder” (picks 33–64)
“I know in my, one of my latest mock drafts, I had him going in the second round to the Packers with their first draft pick in this class. He seems like a mid second rounder”
Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board
“This is a quarterback class that is, top heavy in that the top guy I really like. Mansour Delaine out of LSU.”
Jermod McCoy to be 2nd cornerback off the board
“So the neck the number two corner in the class, my opinion, Jermott McCoy, didn't play last year because of a torn ACL.”
Cashius Howell to be picked “dropped firmly out of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“So I think that once he got that arm length at the combine, I felt like he dropped firmly out of the first round.”
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“you've been you've had Lamu going to the 40 niners per since pretty early on... This has been, somebody that you have targeted in all of your mock drafts”