Skip to main content

Ayrton OstlyFeb 26, 2026

Ostley predicts Mississippi State receiver Brandon/Brennan Thompson runs the fastest 40-yard dash at the combine, expects Mac Jones to be traded to the Vikings, and offers combine performance expectations for several prospects.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 3 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Ayrton Ostly said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's a pretty safe bet to run the fastest 40 yard dash ball.
Ayrton Ostly, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On 49ers (podcast)
The episode
49ERS SQUAD SHOW: LIVE FROM THE COMBINE, Trent Williams Moving On?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 25
  2. GradedAug 18
  1. 1Gabe Jacas to post more than 30 reps on the bench press at the combine“he's reportedly, he can hit more than 30 reps on the bench press at six three two seventy”
  2. 2Brandon Thompson to lead his drill at the combine“Mississippi State wide receiver, Brandon Thompson, he's probably he's a pretty safe bet to run the fastest 40 yard dash”
  3. 3Keldric Faulk to post high four sixes in the 40 yard dash at the combine“He said today he's aiming for, the four sixes, like, high four sixes in the 40 yard dash at that size”
  4. 4Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings“everything that circles back, I think, to Mac Jones”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Gabe Jacas to post more than 30 reps on the bench press at the combine1Combine Measurements301000+100
Brandon Thompson to lead his drill at the combine2Combine Superlatives————
Keldric Faulk to post high four sixes in the 40 yard dash at the combine3Combine Measurements————
Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 combine measurements, 1 combine superlative and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Combine MeasurementsGabe Jacas

    Gabe Jacas to post more than 30 reps on the bench press at the combine

    What happened30
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    claim:
    more than 30 reps on the bench press
    drill:
    bench reps
    naive:
    the EDGE median (28) misses it
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Gabe Jacas
    result:
    30
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Combine SuperlativesBrandon Thompson

    Brandon Thompson to lead his drill at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Combine MeasurementsKeldric Faulk

    Keldric Faulk to post high four sixes in the 40 yard dash at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsMac JonesMinnesota Vikings

    Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More combine measurements

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.