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Is Bill Scher accurate? Across 13 graded calls in 1 article, Bill Scher scores 52% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.46, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“I still put the edge in the Harris camp Yeah. Because I do feel that there is a ground game mismatch here.”
“I would think the most likely is a two seventy, two sixty eight Harris winning electoral college. Narrow, narrow, narrow.”
“That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two, not winning anything in the Sun Belt.”
“while Allred and, Riskell Powell are knocking on the door in Florida and Texas, it seems hard to believe they could actually overcome”
“That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two”
“will come up short, you know, in the Sun Belt where, you know, Joe Biden just barely won it, you know, in Arizona and Georgia last time”
“will come up short, you know, in the Sun Belt where, you know, Joe Biden just barely won it, you know, in Arizona and Georgia last time”
“Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.”
“in the senate, you know, Tester does not look good in Montana. I hate to say it, but it seems like just a lot of Republicans that move into that state just change the complexion of the state.”
“That's that's Blue Wall plus Nebraska two, not winning anything in the Sun Belt.”
“I'm inclined to believe Harris can gut out, the Rust Belt with ground game”
“Democrats win the house. Republicans win the senate.”
“while Allred and, Riskell Powell are knocking on the door in Florida and Texas, it seems hard to believe they could actually overcome, without there being a really broader blue wave”