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Chris Long· Nov 6, 2026

Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.

“I think the advantage is too too good, too big for, for New England. That's why why I would give them a slight edge in this game.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Green Light with Chris Long (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls, 1 position group finish and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 6, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Packers

    “I think where the game gets won and lost for the Packers is up front on the offensive line. I just think the advantage is too too good, too big for, for New England. That's why why I would give them a slight edge in this game”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsNov 6, 2026

    New Orleans Saints to beat Browns

    “the saints are probably not going anywhere, but they're they're gonna beat... They're they're gonna beat the Browns this week.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NO
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · favorite pick, Saints about 2 in 3 (66%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsNov 6, 2026

    Indianapolis Colts to beat Cowboys

    “Cowboys, Colts, the only thing that I think is interesting about this game is that Jonathan Taylor's probably... Like, I think it'd be really interesting if they don't play him at all, and Dallas is gonna lose that game somehow.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5 · underdog pick, Colts about 1 in 3 (34%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsBrandon AiyukNov 6, 2026

    Brandon Aiyuk to move — “probably cut him”

    “And Ayuk, what's going on with that? I think they're just gonna say you're not allowed to to be here anymore. I think they probably cut him.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Group FinishGreen Bay PackersNov 6, 2026

    Green Bay Packers defense to be top 10 in the league

    “their offensive line probably keeps them from getting where they wanna go, but, like, this defense is gonna be a top 10 defense”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Availability CallsTreVeyon HendersonNew England PatriotsNov 6, 2026

    “But they will not have Trevion Henderson, it sounds like, either, who seemingly wants out.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 6, 2026

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Chargers

    “Baltimore... Brissett led Baltimore. I I think Baltimore wins that game. Monday night in Baltimore.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Availability CallsWill LeeCarolina PanthersNov 6, 2026

    “outside, I'm told Will Lee is day to day... That guy's hamstring exploded on TV. I saw it. I was like, there's no way he's playing this week... Canales, we're not stupid... he's not playing this week.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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