Colin Cowherd

Colin Cowherd is an American sports media personality who began his broadcasting career as a sports director at Las Vegas television station KVBC before moving through several other stations and joining ESPN in 2003. At ESPN, he hosted a radio show on the ESPN Radio network and became one of the original hosts of SportsNation, as well as Colin's New Football Show. He currently hosts The Herd with Colin Cowherd on Fox Sports Radio and Fox Sports 1. Cowherd covers the NFL with particular attention to franchises like the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, and Philadelphia Eagles. His predictions range from individual game outcomes to playoff berths, draft positioning, and season win totals — the full spectrum of NFL forecasting.

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Colin Cowherd, including the ones still waiting →

Is Colin Cowherd accurate? Across 465 graded calls in 75 articles, Colin Cowherd scores 55.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 10.8, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

55.97%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

10.8

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

465

Graded calls

across 75 articles. 417 more not yet settled.

96.44% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 465

2 of 82 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 10 of 14.

Cowherd laid out his full post-draft NFL division-by-division predictions, naming division winners, playoff fields in both conferences, and specific team finishes, plus a few player calls (Emeka Egbuka's rookie catch total, Travis Hunter's impact).30 graded calls · May 6, 2025
- Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CIN
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to win the division
  “Next up, NFC North. I'm keeping at the same... So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  DET
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to win the division
  “I think the Rams are gonna win it.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LAR
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
  “I'm gonna move Tampa from second to first to win their division.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to win the division
  “So let's start with the AFC, so the easiest. I would bet my car on this one. Bills win it.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  BUF
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
  “in the AFC West, I feel the same way... I think the Chargers... my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Houston Texans to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  HOU
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BUF
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PHI
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  TB
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NE
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Bills win it... Patriots... Dolphins aren't good. They're going backwards, but I'll take them over the Jets”
  Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  40
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Emeka Egbuka to record 80 receptions
  “He will be an eighty catch guy potentially as a rookie.”
  Close · 58Scored 57.5a naive guess scored 0+115 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  27.65
  skill:
  115
  what happened:
  63
  player:
  Emeka Egbuka
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  57.5
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  80
  statistic:
  receptions
  difficulty:
  2
  last season:
  no prior season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  position average:
  27.65
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Eagles commander's going away. I'm gonna put the Giants at third and the Cowboys at four.”
  Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -40
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  70
  baseline:
  90
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'll take the Jaguars third and the Colts fourth”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 70-40 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -40
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  70
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs
  “the Titans are a wild card team”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  TEN
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAR
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  WAS
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SEA
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to win the division
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  BAL
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  BAL
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
  “We go to the NFC now, where I do have more changes. Eagles commander's going away.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Houston Texans to win the division
  “I think the Texans win it going away, and the Titans are a wild card team.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  HOU
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Elijah Moore to be 4th on the depth chart
  “he's a number four number, Yeah, he's a number three or four.”
  Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 58.33+33.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  BUF
  skill:
  33.33
  player:
  Elijah Moore
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  75
  baseline:
  58.33
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  7
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arizona Cardinals to finish with 10 wins
  “but I think Arizona can win ten to eleven games”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  ARI
  naive:
  8.25
  skill:
  0
  what happened:
  3
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  10
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
  “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DET
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
  “I think the Bears eke into the playoffs.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CHI
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAC
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
  “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BAL
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
  “She's still win ten to eleven, maybe twelve”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAC
  naive:
  9.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd called the Lions to win the NFC North with the Bears grabbing a wild-card spot, said Minnesota could win about eight games with JJ McCarthy, and picked the Lakers to win that night's playoff game against Minnesota.3 graded calls · Apr 30, 2025
- Detroit Lions to win the division
  “I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  DET
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins
  “Minnesota could win eight games with JJ and be a really good team to help it.”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  MIN
  naive:
  11.25
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  55
  predicted:
  8
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
  “I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CHI
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?

Colin Cowherd

Graded calls · 465

2 of 82 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 10 of 14.

Cowherd laid out his full post-draft NFL division-by-division predictions, naming division winners, playoff fields in both conferences, and specific team finishes, plus a few player calls (Emeka Egbuka's rookie catch total, Travis Hunter's impact).30 graded calls · May 6, 2025

Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to win the division
“Next up, NFC North. I'm keeping at the same... So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I think the Rams are gonna win it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I'm gonna move Tampa from second to first to win their division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“So let's start with the AFC, so the easiest. I would bet my car on this one. Bills win it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
“in the AFC West, I feel the same way... I think the Chargers... my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
“Bills win it... Patriots... Dolphins aren't good. They're going backwards, but I'll take them over the Jets”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Emeka Egbuka to record 80 receptions
“He will be an eighty catch guy potentially as a rookie.”
Close · 58Scored 57.5a naive guess scored 0+115 skill
How this was scored
naive:
27.65
skill:
115
what happened:
63
player:
Emeka Egbuka
season:
2025
accuracy:
57.5
baseline:
0
predicted:
80
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
no prior season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
27.65
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
“Eagles commander's going away. I'm gonna put the Giants at third and the Cowboys at four.”
Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
“I'll take the Jaguars third and the Colts fourth”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 70-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
70
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs
“the Titans are a wild card team”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“We go to the NFC now, where I do have more changes. Eagles commander's going away.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to win the division
“I think the Texans win it going away, and the Titans are a wild card team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
HOU
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Elijah Moore to be 4th on the depth chart
“he's a number four number, Yeah, he's a number three or four.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 58.33+33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
33.33
player:
Elijah Moore
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
58.33
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
7
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 10 wins
“but I think Arizona can win ten to eleven games”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
ARI
naive:
8.25
skill:
0
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“I think the Bears eke into the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
“She's still win ten to eleven, maybe twelve”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
naive:
9.75
skill:
50
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd called the Lions to win the NFC North with the Bears grabbing a wild-card spot, said Minnesota could win about eight games with JJ McCarthy, and picked the Lakers to win that night's playoff game against Minnesota.3 graded calls · Apr 30, 2025

Detroit Lions to win the division
“I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins
“Minnesota could win eight games with JJ and be a really good team to help it.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
50
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
55
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?