Skip to main content

Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · May 6, 2025

Cowherd laid out their full post-draft NFL division-by-division predictions, naming division winners, playoff fields in both conferences, and specific team finishes, plus a few player calls (Emeka Egbuka's rookie catch total, Travis Hunter's impact).

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

11 of 31calls landed11 hits · 4 close calls · 16 misses · 1 waiting
43.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 31 calls
36.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
31 of 32Settled1 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

So my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 2 - New NFL predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMay 6, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–Oct 7, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

How each call scored

32 checkable claims — 15 playoff picks, 8 division winners, 4 power rankings, 2 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 player season number and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

31 of 32 have settled so far, averaging 43.3 out of 100, against 36.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

4They said
15What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Power Rankings1 hit · 2 close calls · 1 missShow ▸
  1. “Vikings will be a very good fourth place team.”

    Ranked #15called #4
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    naive:
    finishes where it finished last season (4)
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    window:
    top 4
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    settled by:
    final standings: win percentage, then point differential
    actual rank:
    15
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    clubs ranked:
    32
    predicted rank:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    zero at places out:
    8
    Think this is wrong?
  2. “Bills win it... Patriots... Dolphins aren't good. They're going backwards, but I'll take them over the Jets”

    90Hit

    90 − 40 naive = 50 × 2 difficulty = +100 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. “Eagles commander's going away. I'm gonna put the Giants at third and the Cowboys at four.”

    70Close

    70 − 90 naive = −20 × 2 difficulty = −40 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    70
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. “I'll take the Jaguars third and the Colts fourth”

    50Close

    50 − 70 naive = −20 × 2 difficulty = −40 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    70
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Division Winners1 hit · 7 missesShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    “I think the Rams are gonna win it.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Detroit Lions to win the division

    “Next up, NFC North. I'm keeping at the same... So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Detroit Lions

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    “We go to the NFC now, where I do have more changes. Eagles commander's going away.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “I'm gonna move Tampa from second to first to win their division.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Baltimore Ravens

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    “in the AFC West, I feel the same way... I think the Chargers... my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Houston Texans to win the division

    “I think the Texans win it going away, and the Titans are a wild card team.”

    Houston Texans

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Buffalo Bills to win the division

    “So let's start with the AFC, so the easiest. I would bet my car on this one. Bills win it.”

    Buffalo Bills

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks8 hits · 7 missesShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Houston Texans

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Buffalo Bills

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Detroit Lions

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CIN
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    New England Patriots

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    “I think the Bears eke into the playoffs.”

    Chicago Bears

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs

    “the Titans are a wild card team”

    Tennessee Titans

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    TEN
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Washington Commanders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs

    “So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    SEA
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals1 hit · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Arizona Cardinals to finish with 10 wins

    “but I think Arizona can win ten to eleven games”

    Arizona Cardinals

    3called 10
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    ARI
    naive:
    8.25
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    3
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins

    “She's still win ten to eleven, maybe twelve”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    11called 11
    100Hit

    100 − 75 naive = 25 × 2 difficulty = +50 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    naive:
    9.75
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    75
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls1 close callShow ▸
  1. Elijah Moore to be 4th on the depth chart

    “he's a number four number, Yeah, he's a number three or four.”

    Elijah MooreBuffalo Bills

    No. 7called No. 4 · by receptions
    75Close

    75 − 58.33 naive = 16.67 × 2 difficulty = +33.33 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    BUF
    skill:
    33.33
    player:
    Elijah Moore
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    58.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    7
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers1 close callShow ▸
  1. Emeka Egbuka to record 80 receptions

    “He will be an eighty catch guy potentially as a rookie.”

    Emeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers

    63called 80
    57.5Close

    57.5 − 0 naive = 57.5 × 2 difficulty = +115 skill

    How this was scored
    naive:
    27.65
    skill:
    115
    what happened:
    63
    player:
    Emeka Egbuka
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    57.5
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    80
    statistic:
    receptions
    difficulty:
    2
    last season:
    no prior season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    position average:
    27.65
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. New England Patriots to beat expectations

    “I'm predicting the Patriots will be the most improved team.”

    New England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.