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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 30, 2025

Cowherd called the Lions to win the NFC North with the Bears grabbing a wild-card spot, said Minnesota could win about eight games with JJ McCarthy, and picked the Lakers to win that night's playoff game against Minnesota.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
60Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
18.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2 - Top picks from the NFL draft
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Detroit Lions to win the division“I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins“Minnesota could win eight games with JJ and be a really good team to help it.”
  3. 3Chicago Bears to make the playoffs“I'm all in on the Lions winning it and the Bears going to a wildcard spot.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Detroit Lions to win the division1Division Winners—000
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins2Season Win Totals98055+50
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1000+200
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled6018.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 18.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsMinnesota Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins

    What happened9called 8
    80Hit · naive 55
    80this call55a naive guess25better than naive2difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    naive:
    11.25
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    9
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    55
    they said:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    60naive 18.3

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.