New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“Yeah, I got him at ten wins.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 40
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“AFC East, I'm going Josh Allen and the Bills... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 9 wins
“I think Seahawks could win nine games.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 5-10 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- −10
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 5
- they said:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams. New England Bengals are both new playoff teams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- skill:
- −200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“I think in the NFC North again... The Green Bay Packers young still, but I like their first pick”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to win the division
“AFC South. I'm just gonna go with what I know. Demico Ryans hell of a coach, and I like c. J. Stroud”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“NFC. Again, I think it's pretty Static, Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“Lions have two new coordinators, but I love almost everything else about the organization... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“Patriots' most improved team get in as a wild card team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to beat Steelers
“Steelers at the Jets. Jets, by the way, if for no other reason, I have one of my rules of betting is in a low scoring game, take points... Yeah. I like the Jets.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 34-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Closing line (Sep 7): Steelers by 3 · underdog pick, Jets 42%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to win the division
“I think the Broncos have the best roster... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco
“I like Seattle to hold servant home and beat San Francisco”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 17-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Closing line (Sep 7): 49ers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Seahawks 45%.
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“AFC North again, I think it's fairly predictable. Ravens arguably best operation in the sport with Lamar”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 9 wins
“I think the Niners could win nine and Seahawks win the tiebreaker.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 5+70 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- 7.25
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 5
- they said:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“NFC West. Here's my big change Rams. I'm going to have them winning the division again.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I'm not sure the Bucks are as good as a lot of the NFL execs... But I trust Baker, I trust the GM, I trust the roster... I went with Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina
“take a look at Trevor Lawrence and Travis Hunter. I like Jacks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 10-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Closing line (Sep 7): Jaguars by 4.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Think this grade is wrong?