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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 25, 2025

Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · all settled
25Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
62.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Green Bay is probably gonna win that division.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
The episode
BEST OF John Middlekauff - Broncos Incredible Turnaround, Packers Projections, Top 10 QBs, NFL Win Totals
The original
Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 25, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Green Bay Packers to win the division“I think I'm gonna take the Packers... Green Bay is probably gonna win that division.”
  2. 2Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants“They're going to go all and four against probably Washington and Philadelphia at best.”
  3. 3Washington Commanders to beat Giants“They're going to go all and four against probably Washington and Philadelphia at best.”
  4. 4Top Player Lists“So I thought I may have CJ. Stroud ten and Baker eleven ish that felt about right.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers to win the division1Division Winners—000
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants2Game Outcome Picks—0100−200
Washington Commanders to beat Giants3Game Outcome Picks—1001000
“So I thought I may have CJ. Stroud ten and Baker eleven ish…”4Top Player Lists—050−100
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled2562.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 division winner and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 62.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Giants

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    17-34
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to beat Giants

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    6-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Top Player Lists

    “So I thought I may have CJ. Stroud ten and Baker eleven ish that felt about right.”

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 50
    0this call50a naive guess−50worse than naive2difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −100
    placed:
    2
    season:
    2025
    players:
    2
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 2: 0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    25naive 62.5

Who this take is about

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