Colin Cowherd· Sep 4, 2025

Cowherd gave his final full-season NFL predictions before Week 1: Bills, Ravens, Texans and Broncos win the AFC divisions with the Patriots, Bengals and Chiefs as wild cards; Eagles, Packers, Buccaneers and Rams win the NFC divisions with Commanders, Lions and Seahawks as wild cards. He also gave a few Week 1 picks and win totals.

“So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division win. Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

20 checkable claims — 8 division winners, 6 playoff picks, 3 game outcome picks and 3 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 20 have settled, averaging 28 out of 100, against 15.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

20 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome Picks Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco
“I like Seattle to hold servant home and beat San Francisco”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
17-13
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“AFC East, I'm going Josh Allen and the Bills... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Denver BroncosSep 4, 2025
Denver Broncos to win the division
“I think the Broncos have the best roster... So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Baltimore RavensSep 4, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“AFC North again, I think it's fairly predictable. Ravens arguably best operation in the sport with Lamar”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles RamsSep 4, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“NFC West. Here's my big change Rams. I'm going to have them winning the division again.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Green Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“I think in the NFC North again... The Green Bay Packers young still, but I like their first pick”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansSep 4, 2025
Houston Texans to win the division
“AFC South. I'm just gonna go with what I know. Demico Ryans hell of a coach, and I like c. J. Stroud”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
HOU
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“I'm not sure the Bucks are as good as a lot of the NFL execs... But I trust Baker, I trust the GM, I trust the roster... I went with Eagles, Packers, Bucks, and Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“NFC. Again, I think it's pretty Static, Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 9 wins
“I think Seahawks could win nine games.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 5-10 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
9.25
skill:
-10
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
5
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Detroit LionsSep 4, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“Lions have two new coordinators, but I love almost everything else about the organization... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersSep 4, 2025
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New York JetsSep 4, 2025
New York Jets to beat Steelers
“Steelers at the Jets. Jets, by the way, if for no other reason, I have one of my rules of betting is in a low scoring game, take points... Yeah. I like the Jets.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
34-32
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Kansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Cincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams. New England Bengals are both new playoff teams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville JaguarsSep 4, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina
“take a look at Trevor Lawrence and Travis Hunter. I like Jacks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
10-26
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks New England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“Patriots' most improved team get in as a wild card team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals San Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 9 wins
“I think the Niners could win nine and Seahawks win the tiebreaker.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 5+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
70
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
5
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“Yeah, I got him at ten wins.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
40
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

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Who this take is about

20 checkable claims in this take

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