Dan Parr Predictions: Record, Accuracy and Every Graded Take, page 2

New York Giants 23 — Washington Commanders 21
“D. Parr New York Giants 23-21”
Close · 70Scored 70.24a naive guess scored 72.91-4.75 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-27
skill:
−4.75
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
70.24
baseline:
72.91
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
0
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 23–21 calls a Giants win (by 2; the line gave the Giants 38%) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 32 — Arizona Cardinals 26
“D. Parr Detroit Lions 32-26”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+101.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-21
skill:
101.71
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 32–26 calls a bigger Lions win (by 6) and more points (58).
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 26 — Baltimore Ravens 19
“D. Parr Atlanta Falcons 26-19”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 34.1+28.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-23
skill:
28.31
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
34.1
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 26–19 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 7) and more points (45).
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 20 — New Orleans Saints 17
“D. Parr Minnesota Vikings 20-17”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 28.28+97.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-13
skill:
97.99
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
28.28
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Miami Dolphins 13
“D. Parr Cincinnati Bengals 20-13”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 35.42+114.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-24
skill:
114.94
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
35.42
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 20–13 calls the line’s margin (Bengals by 7) and fewer points (33).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 23 — Tennessee Titans 14
“D. Parr Houston Texans 23-14”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 0+118.67 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-3
skill:
118.67
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
23
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 23–14 calls a bigger Texans win (by 9) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 21 — Indianapolis Colts 18
“D. Parr Pittsburgh Steelers 21-18”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 73.52+8.99 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-34
skill:
8.99
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
73.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 21–18 calls the line’s margin (Steelers by 3) and fewer points (39).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Philadelphia Eagles 14
“D. Parr Jacksonville Jaguars 23-14”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 96.54-23.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
−23.5
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
96.54
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.55
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–14 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 9) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 24 — Los Angeles Chargers 20
“D. Parr Denver Broncos 24-20”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 36.48+104.59 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-17
skill:
104.59
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
36.48
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 27 — Green Bay Packers 21
“D. Parr Chicago Bears 27-21”
Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 50-76.29 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-31
skill:
−76.29
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
7.14
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and more points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cleveland Browns 19 — New York Jets 17
“D. Parr Cleveland Browns 19-17”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 90.19-84.25 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-17
skill:
−84.25
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
90.19
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 19–17 calls a Browns win (by 2; the line gave the Browns 44%) and fewer points (36).
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots 28 — Las Vegas Raiders 26
“D. Parr New England Patriots 28-26”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-45
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
28
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 28–26 calls a closer game (Patriots by 2) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Buffalo Bills 27
“D. Parr Los Angeles Rams 31-27”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 43.52+7.3 skill
How this was scored
score:
37-34
skill:
7.3
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
43.52
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.28
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 31–27 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and more points (58).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 24 — San Francisco 49ers 20
“D. Parr Seattle Seahawks 24-20”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 43.62+7.12 skill
How this was scored
score:
32-29
skill:
7.12
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
43.62
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
14
naive home margin:
0.32
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?

Oct 4, 2026

Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.Score Predictions · 16 calls

8 hits · 6 close calls · 2 misses · 8 of 16 graded calls landed

Show the 16 graded calls

San Francisco 49ers 28 — Denver Broncos 26
“Dan Parr: San Francisco 49ers 28-26”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 78.57+4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-24
skill:
4.36
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
78.57
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3, total 48.5 · this 28–26 calls a closer game (49ers by 2) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 21 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
“Dan Parr: Green Bay Packers 21-17”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 45.24+95.86 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-14
skill:
95.86
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3, total 38.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Packers win (by 4) and fewer points (38).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 37 — Carolina Panthers 28
“Dan Parr: Detroit Lions 37-28”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 88.1-82.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-32
skill:
−82.79
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 37–28 calls a bigger Lions win (by 9) and more points (65).
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati Bengals 26
“Dan Parr: Jacksonville Jaguars 27-26”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 40.48+91.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-17
skill:
91.5
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
40.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 27–26 calls a Jaguars win (by 1; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (53).
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 34 — Atlanta Falcons 31
“Dan Parr: New Orleans Saints 34-31”
Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 1.56+10.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-24
skill:
10.21
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
7.14
baseline:
1.56
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.66
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 34–31 calls a bigger Saints win (by 3) and more points (65).
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 30 — Miami Dolphins 10
“Dan Parr: Minnesota Vikings 30-10”
Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 90.48-47.93 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-15
skill:
−47.93
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
64.29
baseline:
90.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
20
Closing line (Oct 4): Vikings by 10, total 38.5 · this 30–10 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 20) and more points (40).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 27 — New England Patriots 21
“Dan Parr: Buffalo Bills 27-21”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 45.24-4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-26
skill:
−4.36
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 4): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 27–21 calls a closer game (Bills by 6) and fewer points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Indianapolis Colts 23 — Washington Commanders 20
“Dan Parr: Indianapolis Colts 23-20”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 10.86+102.13 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-13
skill:
102.13
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
10.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.56
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Colts by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Cleveland Browns 16
“Dan Parr: Pittsburgh Steelers 20-16”
Close · 60Scored 59.52a naive guess scored 51.13+15.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-27
skill:
15.36
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
59.52
baseline:
51.13
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals 21 — New York Giants 19
“Dan Parr: Arizona Cardinals 21-19”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 73.81-87.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-36
skill:
−87.14
they picked:
ARI
season:
2026
accuracy:
26.19
baseline:
73.81
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 4): Cardinals by 2.5, total 44.5 · this 21–19 calls a closer game (Cardinals by 2) and fewer points (40).
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 27 — Dallas Cowboys 23
“Dan Parr: Houston Texans 27-23”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 42.86+13.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-30
skill:
13.07
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3, total 48.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Texans win (by 4) and more points (50).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 24 — Philadelphia Eagles 20
“Dan Parr: Los Angeles Rams 24-20”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 42.86+104.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
104.57
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 23 — Tennessee Titans 16
“Dan Parr: Baltimore Ravens 23-16”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 88.1+17.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-24
skill:
17.43
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 4): Ravens by 11.5, total 42.5 · this 23–16 calls a closer game (Ravens by 7) and fewer points (39).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 24 — New York Jets 20
“Dan Parr: Chicago Bears 24-20”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 76.19+13.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-23
skill:
13.07
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
76.19
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and more points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Las Vegas Raiders 24
“Dan Parr: Kansas City Chiefs 27-24”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.24+100.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-27
skill:
100.21
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5, total 47.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 3) and more points (51).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 26 — Los Angeles Chargers 17
“Dan Parr: Seattle Seahawks 26-17”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 85.71+17.43 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-30
skill:
17.43
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
85.71
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
9
Closing line (Oct 4): Seahawks by 7, total 42.5 · this 26–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 9) and more points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?

Dan Parr

Every graded call, continued · page 2