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Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Is Doug Schoen accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Doug Schoen scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 102, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“But if you ask me to say, who do I think's ahead now? I think Donald Trump's ahead. I think he's more likely than not to win.”
“you have a tough time reaching any conclusion other than, Donald Trump is a narrow but clear favorite to win the election.”