Field Yates Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded, page 2

Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 21
“Field Yates says no Ty Simpson. Uh-uh. It's Venga Yoane staying in the Keystone State ... Sitting there twenty first overall”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30
“How about the Dolphins sitting there at 30 getting Casey Concepcion dropping to them?”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32
“And if the Seahawks ... can get Terrell. Drop it to them at the last pick.”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “Top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Kenyan Saddiq going to Carolina. Top 20 for Saddiq.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
Top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“he thinks the Cardinals will go Arvel Reese third”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“The Jets will choose David Bailey ... Oh, Bailey's second.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Fernando Mendoza is gonna be the first overall pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Eli Stowers to be picked at number 46
“He would have the Vanderbilt player in tight end dropping to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 46.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Eli Stowers
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
46
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd receiver off the board
“The Chiefs would choose Jordan Tyson as the second receiver off the board.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 11.45+88.55 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 11.45
skill:
88.55
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
11.45
position:
receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“with the Giants then following up with Caleb Downs fifth overall”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“Reuben Bain would go to the Saints eighth overall.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“with Sonny Styles going to Tennessee fourth overall”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“leaving Carnell Tate for Browns fans to feast on ... in the top six picks”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“Leaving Jeremiah Love for the Washington commanders to take at seven.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
“Jermott McCoy, if he goes to Dallas at pick”
Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
2.12
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.12
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 13
“The Rams with the thirteenth overall pick, their first round selection would be Monroe Freeling.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.31 against a shuffle’s 50+42.31 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.31
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.31
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 27, 2026

Yates pegged David Bailey as a top-four pick, called Jeremiah Love clearly the best running back in the class with a draft range from No. 3 overall to the Chiefs at No. 9, put Karnell Tate atop their receiver board, projected Jordan Tyson as a top-15 pick, and expected Brennan Thompson to run in the 4.2s. They also see both Miami's Mauigoa and Utah's Spencer Fano taken inside the top 15, with Mauigoa having a chance to be the first offensive lineman off the board.Position Order Calls, Combine Measurements, Mock Draft Picks · 9 calls

3 hits · 1 close call · 5 waiting · 3 of 4 graded calls landed

Show the 4 graded calls

Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I got 42 wide receivers for the draftable grade this year, but Carnell Tate does stand at the very top”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
skill:
90.52
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
9.48
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Brenen Thompson to post four two speed at the combine
“But we're talking four two speed, Brennan Thompson, and he's not even being discussed as a first round pick.”
Close · 67Scored 67.27a naive guess scored 22.7+44.57 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.06
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average WR (4.48, from 283 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.1 — one standard deviation for a WR
skill:
44.57
player:
Brenen Thompson
result:
4.26
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
67.27
baseline:
22.7
they said:
4.2
sigmas out:
0.57
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)
“I have a hard time imagining that he's not a top 15 pick based off of the talent and the character as well.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 15 pick (picks 1–15)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board
“I think make him the best running back in this class by miles... Yeah. He's clearly the best running back, one of the best players.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 25.97+74.03 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 13 at random averages 25.97
skill:
74.03
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
25.97
position:
running back
class size:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 19, 2026

In their latest mock draft, Yates has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to the Raiders (a pick they say can be etched in stone), the Jets taking edge rusher Arbel Reiss at No. 2, the Titans taking David Bailey in the first round, and the Cowboys selecting Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles at No. 12 as the first linebacker off the board.Mock Draft Picks, Position Order Calls · 5 calls

4 hits · 1 close call · 4 of 5 graded calls landed

Show the 5 graded calls

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“There is one pick that we can write in stone right now, etching stone. That is, of course, Fernando Mendoza to the Las Vegas Raiders at number one overall.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be 1st linebacker off the board
“He's the first linebacker off the board in fields mock.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 17.77+32.23 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 26 at random averages 17.77
skill:
32.23
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
50
baseline:
17.77
position:
linebacker
class size:
26
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
3
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“See here Field has the Jets and Titans going with edge rushers, Ohio State's Arbel Reiss, and Texas Tech's David Bailey.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
“Field has Dallas taking a linebacker at number 12, Sonny Styles out of Ohio State.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Field has the Jets and Titans going with edge rushers, Ohio State's Arbel Reiss, and Texas Tech's David Bailey... If Edge is the pick for the jets at number two, is Reese automatically the choice in your mind?”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 16, 2026

As read on the show, Yates' ESPN mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first to the Raiders, Arvel Reese second to the Jets and runs through the Chiefs taking Jeremiah Love at nine.Mock Draft Picks · 9 calls

6 hits · 3 close calls · 6 of 9 graded calls landed

Show the 9 graded calls

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“So number one, the Raiders, he's got Fernando Mendoza, the quarterback from Indiana”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8
“and then Jordan Tyson at eight to pair with the LaVey, in New Orleans”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
“Carnell Tate to the Commanders at seven”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Number five, Giants, Caleb Downs, a safety”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“Francis Muygela at three to the Cardinals”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6
“Spencer Fano tackled out of Utah for the Browns at six”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9
“they have the Chiefs taking Jeremiah Love”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 4
“Titans with Borgonzi as a GM taking David Bailey, the edge”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Arvel Reese, who's an edge rusher from Ohio State ... the Jets edge, Arval Reese, Fields got him going there too.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
6.67
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
56.67
Think this grade is wrong?

Field Yates

Every graded call, continued · page 2