Field YatesFeb 27, 2026
Yates pegged David Bailey as a top-four pick, called Jeremiah Love clearly the best running back in the class with a draft range from No. 3 overall to the Chiefs at No. 9, put Karnell Tate atop their receiver board, projected Jordan Tyson as a top-15 pick, and expected Brennan Thompson to run in the 4.2s. They also see both Miami's Mauigoa and Utah's Spencer Fano taken inside the top 15, with Mauigoa having a chance to be the first offensive lineman off the board.
Said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast)Hear the original
What Field Yates said
I think David Bailey reinforced yesterday. He's going somewhere between pick two and pick four.
- Where it was said
- NFL Live (podcast)
- The episode
- Cowboys Franchise Tag George Pickens; QBs Speak at the Combine
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 27
- GradedAug 13–18
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combine Measurements | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Position Order Calls | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| All | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks, 3 position order calls and 1 combine measurement — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 91.8 out of 100, against 27 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Combine Measurements1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Brenen Thompson to post four two speed at the combine
“But we're talking four two speed, Brennan Thompson, and he's not even being discussed as a first round pick.”
4.26called 4.267.27Close67.27 − 22.7 naive = 44.57 × 1 difficulty = +44.57 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 0.06
- drill:
- forty time
- naive:
- the average WR (4.48, from 283 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 0.1 — one standard deviation for a WR
- skill:
- 44.57
- player:
- Brenen Thompson
- result:
- 4.26
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 67.27
- baseline:
- 22.7
- they said:
- 4.2
- sigmas out:
- 0.57
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Position Order Calls2 hits · 1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board
“I think make him the best running back in this class by miles... Yeah. He's clearly the best running back, one of the best players.”
100Hit100 − 25.97 naive = 74.03 × 1 difficulty = +74.03 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 13 at random averages 25.97
- skill:
- 74.03
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 25.97
- position:
- running back
- class size:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I got 42 wide receivers for the draftable grade this year, but Carnell Tate does stand at the very top”
100Hit100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Francis Mauigoa to be a chance to be the first offensive lineman taken offensive lineman off the board
“So now we know as a chance, I think, to be the first offensive tackle first offensive lineman taken”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mock Draft Picks1 hit · 4 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “top 15 pick” (picks 1–15)
“I have a hard time imagining that he's not a top 15 pick based off of the talent and the character as well.”
Went 8100HitThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 15 pick (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “as high as number three overall or maybe slides to the Chiefs at number nine”
“a much more important philosophical question that I think dictates whether he goes as high as number three overall or maybe slides to the Chiefs at number nine”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Bailey to be picked “somewhere between pick two and pick four”
“I think David Bailey reinforced yesterday. He's going somewhere between pick two and pick four... with teams from two to four in the Jets, Cardinals, and Titans that definitely need pass rush help, wouldn't surprise me if that is his range.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Spencer Fano to be picked “the first 15 picks”
“I think both of these guys have a chance to be taken in the first 15 picks.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
CC Maui Noah to be picked “the first 15 picks”
“I think both of these guys have a chance to be taken in the first 15 picks.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Jordyn Tyson · Hit 100
Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker.Alain Poupart · Roster Spot Calls · Carlos Washington · Miss 0
Poupart expects rookie guard Kadyn Proctor to clear concussion protocol and play against Detroit, sees Ollie Gordon II continuing as the Dolphins' workhorse back, and thinks practice squad back Carlos Washington Jr. could be elevated for the Lions game.Nick Brinkerhoff · Score Predictions · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Predicts a 23-20 Dolphins win over the Jets.Mike Kadlick · Game Outcome Picks · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Picks the Dolphins to beat the Jets.Alain Poupart · Score Predictions · Miami Dolphins · Hit 98
Picks the Dolphins to upset the Jets 24-20, citing New York's run-defense problems against a Miami ground game led by Ollie Gordon II and Malik Willis.Alain Poupart · Game Outcome Picks · Miami Dolphins · Hit 100
Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins 19-17, while predicting Miami will get its win over New York in the rematch five weeks later.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.