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Writes at Locked On Rams (podcast)
Across 12 graded calls in 3 articles, Gavin Carlson scores 66.03% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 42.37, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 36 calls · one square per call
7hits58% of graded
1Close8%
4misses33%
24
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
12 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first. Every take from Gavin Carlson, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Gavin Carlson isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Los Angeles Rams 24 — chargers 14
“I have it at twenty four fourteen. ... But Rams twenty four fourteen, they win the ball game.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5, total 46.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and fewer points (38).
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Bills 24
“Give me, give me my Rams twenty seven twenty four. I think it's gonna be an amazing game... But give me 27, 24 Rams.”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (51).
Denver Broncos to beat Rams
“I'm gonna give the Rams a loss here. This this can be my first loss this season for the Rams ... In Denver, great defense.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Arizona
“before they travel to Arizona in week 10. Any upsets there? ... I've got the Rams at nine and one”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Philly
“Give me the Rams to go to three and one. ... Give me the Rams by double digits.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
“do we all have a a Rams win here against the bad Giants team? Yeah. Rams win.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Las Vegas Raiders
“I could easily see them overlooking this Raiders team, but I think we all got a win there.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders
“I'm gonna pick us to win this game. I just we're just a better football team. ... put the Rams to eight and one”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Buffalo Bills
“So I'm I got the Rams here to go to four and one as well.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat cardinals
“We all got the Rams there, so that moves into four and two for Rob. Five and one for big Brock and I”
Los Angeles Rams to beat niners
“I think the Rams at their best are better than the niners at their best. And so I'll go I'll go Rams as well.”
San Francisco 49ers to beat Rams
“I'm changing my mind. I'm picking a loss. ... I'll say they split, and the Rams fall to ten and three.”