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Gavin Carlson· May 19, 2026

Carlson went game-by-game through the Rams' 2026 schedule, picking losses at Denver, at San Francisco, to Green Bay and in the Week 18 rematch with Seattle, finishing 13-4 as NFC West champions with a first-round bye.

“Rams win this game, they beat Tampa Bay, and that week 18 game against Seattle, it doesn't even matter. Rams have the division clinched by then.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Rams (podcast) · read the original →

19 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 season win total and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Los Angeles Rams · 2026 season · wins

16 calls from 8 pundits between 3 wins and 17 wins. Gavin Carlson said 13 wins. the room's median is 12 wins. not settled yet

Gavin Carlson — 13 winsthe room — 16 calls from 8 punditsmedian 12 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

19 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    “I'm gonna give the Rams a loss here. This this can be my first loss this season for the Rams ... In Denver, great defense.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants

    “do we all have a a Rams win here against the bad Giants team? Yeah. Rams win.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat niners

    “I think the Rams at their best are better than the niners at their best. And so I'll go I'll go Rams as well.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Rams

    “I'm changing my mind. I'm picking a loss. ... I'll say they split, and the Rams fall to ten and three.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders

    “I'm gonna pick us to win this game. I just we're just a better football team. ... put the Rams to eight and one”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Arizona

    “before they travel to Arizona in week 10. Any upsets there? ... I've got the Rams at nine and one”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Tampa Bay

    “No NFC South trap game this year. ... You're focused. They beat the Bucks.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat cardinals

    “We all got the Rams there, so that moves into four and two for Rob. Five and one for big Brock and I”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Kansas City Chiefs

    “Give me the Rams over the Chiefs. I think I'm gonna pick the Rams by double digits in this one as well.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to finish with 13 wins

    “we still all end up at thirteen and four”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    “we all have them winning the division by a game”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Philly

    “Give me the Rams to go to three and one. ... Give me the Rams by double digits.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to take the top seed

    “we all have it at thirteen and four to win the NFC West and get that buy”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Buffalo Bills

    “So I'm I got the Rams here to go to four and one as well.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Green Bay Packers to beat Rams

    “I'm gonna have the Packers winning this one. ... So I'll predict the big Micah performance in a Rams loss.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat cowboys

    “Give me the Rams. High scoring game. ... Rams win, move to eleven and three.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Las Vegas Raiders

    “I could easily see them overlooking this Raiders team, but I think we all got a win there.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle

    “Give me the Rams. There's no way they lose this football game.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams

    “We see him in week 18 because the Rams have already clinched the division ... they do lose in week 18 to fall to thirteen and four”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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