Gregg Rosenthal Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 9

Josh Simmons to be picked “probably in the first round” (picks 1–32)
“Someone's going to take a chance on him at some point, probably in the first round, maybe even earlier than people think because of the position.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Josh Simmons
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
probably in the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Donovan Jackson to be picked “top of the second round” (picks 33–64)
“Wouldn't be surprised if a team like the Patriots one of those teams at the top of the second round that needs offensive lineman.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Donovan Jackson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
top of the second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“So the Chiefs always always disrespected at eleven and a half. I if you you bet the over for them every year, you'd be a rich man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
12 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 11.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“The Bucks are at nine and a half... I'm definitely gonna be over on the Bucks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
−200
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
10 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 9.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to finish with 6 wins
“I think Jets over five and a half? That would be like, what are you thinking? For me? I think that get better than that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
naive:
6.75
skill:
0
what happened:
3
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
6 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 5.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
“I really think he could go to the Jets at seven because they really need to know his bookends”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“the Lions were only at ten and a half... I think I would I would lean towards the over with the Lions”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
9
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
11 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 10.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Apr 8, 2025

Rosenthal made the even-numbered picks in the mock, taking Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and finishing with Mason Taylor to the Eagles at 32, including Shedeur Sanders sliding to the Rams at 26.Mock Draft Picks · 16 calls

8 hits · 5 close calls · 3 misses · 8 of 16 graded calls landed

Show the 16 graded calls

Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“who I'm going to take or two overall for the Cleveland Browns... I'm gonna take Travis Hunter”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Walter Nolen to be picked at number 30
“I'm gonna go Walter Nolan here because I do think they're looking defensive line in general and put him with the Bills”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Walter Nolen
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Mason Taylor to be picked at number 32
“I will go Mason Taylor thirty two because to me, he is the natural Dallas Godder replacement”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Mason Taylor
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
42
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 26
“So I'm gonna go ramshitter Sanders (Rams, pick 26)”
Miss · 1Scored 0.6 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
0.6
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.6
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10
“now Ashton Genty is the Chicago Bear... I think Ashton Genty to the Bears would be a great pairing”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Baron to be picked at number 22
“let's go to the Chargers today. Barron's still there... I probably would lean Baron... He's a good value at twenty two”
Miss · 0Scored 0.13 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Tyler Baron
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
0.13
baseline:
50
actual pick:
176
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.13
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Will Johnson to be picked at number 8
“So I am gonna go Will Johnson at cornerback to the Panthers (number eight overall)”
Miss · 18Scored 18.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Will Johnson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
18.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
47
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
18.46
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 16
“Cardinals... I just think Johad Campbell is such a nice fit in that defense”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Jihaad Campbell
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Will Campbell to be picked at number 6
“if I'm on the clock and I'm the one building the team, I actually would take Will Campbell here (Raiders at six)”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 12
“But I think Tech McMillan's a bigger need... So let's go with him to the Cowboys”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 20
“Broncos... And I think if it was my team, I would take Abuca... so I'm going to take a buga”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Emeka Egbuka
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18
“I have the Seahawks at number eighteen... I think this is the spot for Gray's Abel, the North Dakota State offensive lineman”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Grey Zabel
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 4
“I like Jalen Walker fourth for the Patriots”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Jalon Walker
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyleik Williams to be picked at number 24
“Because I like Williams from Ohio State. It's like a sneaky guy here... Let's let's do that. I'm changing (Vikings at 24)”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Tyleik Williams
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Booker to be picked at number 28
“I would is kind of locked in on Tyler Booker, uh the the Beefy Guard as my Lions pick”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Tyler Booker
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 14
“the Colts are going to take... Tyler Warren”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 76.47 against a shuffle’s 50+26.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
26.47
player:
Tyler Warren
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
76.47
Think this grade is wrong?

Mar 3, 2025

Gregg Rosenthal predicted both Ohio State running backs go in the top 50, that Cam Ward has a decent chance to go No. 1 overall and won't fall past the first couple of picks, that Shedeur Sanders is a tier below them, that Jackson Dart won't be drafted much higher than Jalen Hurts' late-second slot, that Brady Cook won't be drafted, and that DeVante Adams is somewhat likely to be cut by the Jets.Mock Draft Picks, Depth Chart Calls, Roster Spot Calls · 11 calls

8 hits · 3 waiting · 8 of 8 graded calls landed

Show the 8 graded calls

Maxwell Hairston to be picked “maybe in the first round and certainly in the first forty to fifty picks” (picks 1–32)
“one that has a chance to get taken maybe in the first round and certainly in the first, you know forty to. Fifty, picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Maxwell Hairston
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
maybe in the first round and certainly in the first forty to fifty picks (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Deebo Samuel Sr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
0
player:
Deebo Samuel Sr.
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Armand Membou to be picked “a chance he could go in the top ten” (picks 1–10)
“there's. A chance there's a chance he could go in the top ten in, THIS draft”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
a chance he could go in the top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jayden Higgins to be picked “a very intriguing second round type of player” (picks 33–64)
“That that sort of talent to me seems like a very intriguing second round type of. Player”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jayden Higgins
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
34
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
a very intriguing second round type of player (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“There's a decent chance cam Wards still goes number one, whether it's to the Titans or a team trading up, and that he is not going to fall, you know, past the first couple of picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Davante Adams to be cut
“I think he's somewhat likely to get cut unless unless he can work out a contract with a new team that lowers that number.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYJ
skill:
200
player:
Davante Adams
season:
2025
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
0
weeks left when called:
18
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
0
player:
Terry McLaurin
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Luke McCaffrey to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
−33.33
player:
Luke McCaffrey
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
5
actual slot:
5
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 26, 2025

Rosenthal made a series of offseason personnel predictions at the combine: they believe Kirk Cousins will be traded away from Atlanta, that Justin Tucker will never play for the Ravens or in the NFL again, that Joey Bosa should/will be released by the Chargers, that Ronnie Stanley will re-sign with Baltimore rather than reach free agency, and that Chris Godwin will re-sign with Tampa Bay. They also expect Jaire Alexander not to return to Green Bay, Jonathan Allen to be traded, Jonah Williams to remain a Cardinal, and Brian Thomas Jr. to improve.Trade and Signing Calls, Depth Chart Calls, Roster Spot Calls · 9 calls

3 hits · 2 misses · 4 waiting · 3 of 5 graded calls landed

Show the 5 graded calls

Ronnie Stanley to move to Baltimore Ravens
“it really sounds like the number three guy on my list will not make it a free agency.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
−200
player:
Ronnie Stanley
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
BAL
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
BAL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Zion Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
“He mentioned Zion Johnson, who's a first round pick from a few years ago who's frankly struggled at guard, will be tried at center. They need a new center this season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAC
skill:
8.33
player:
Zion Johnson
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
G
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons
“I still believe strongly that he will be traded. And I think what that statement is to the rest of the league, we are not cutting him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
−200
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
ATL
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
ATL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Joey Bosa to be cut
“I think if you look at his contract, it makes sense for Joey Bosa to be released.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAC
skill:
200
player:
Joey Bosa
season:
2025
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
0
weeks left when called:
18
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaire Alexander to be cut
“he said ON JayR alexander will see we'll see his combine code for he. Gone SO i don't think they're going to Bring alexander. Back ... if they do cut him and don't find a trade for, him which is WHAT i think will. Happen”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
200
player:
Jaire Alexander
season:
2025
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
0
weeks left when called:
18
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Gregg Rosenthal

Every graded call, continued · page 9