Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 3, 2025

Gregg Rosenthal predicted both Ohio State running backs go in the top 50, that Cam Ward has a decent chance to go No. 1 overall and won't fall past the first couple of picks, that Shedeur Sanders is a tier below them, that Jackson Dart won't be drafted much higher than Jalen Hurts' late-second slot, that Brady Cook won't be drafted, and that DeVante Adams is somewhat likely to be cut by the Jets.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

8 of 8calls landed8 hits · 3 waiting

95.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls

60.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

8 of 11Settled3 still waiting

#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

There's a decent chance cam Wards still goes number one.

Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Stafford Stays, Deebo Dealt and Combine Winners
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidMar 3, 2025
GradedAug 5–Sep 25, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Waiting
Roster Spot Calls	1	0
Mock Draft Picks	4	3
Depth Chart Calls	3	0
All	8	3

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 3 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 95.8 out of 100, against 60.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls1 hitShow ▸

Davante Adams to be cut
“I think he's somewhat likely to get cut unless unless he can work out a contract with a new team that lowers that number.”
Davante Adams New York Jets
Never on a 53
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYJ
skill:
200
player:
Davante Adams
season:
2025
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
0
weeks left when called:
18
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?

Mock Draft Picks4 hits · 3 waitingShow ▸

Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“There's a decent chance cam Wards still goes number one, whether it's to the Titans or a team trading up, and that he is not going to fall, you know, past the first couple of picks”
Cam Ward
Went 1mocked at 1
100Hit
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Maxwell Hairston to be picked “maybe in the first round and certainly in the first forty to fifty picks” (picks 1–32)
“one that has a chance to get taken maybe in the first round and certainly in the first, you know forty to. Fifty, picks”
Maxwell Hairston
Went 30
100Hit
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Maxwell Hairston
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
maybe in the first round and certainly in the first forty to fifty picks (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Jayden Higgins to be picked “a very intriguing second round type of player” (picks 33–64)
“That that sort of talent to me seems like a very intriguing second round type of. Player”
Jayden Higgins
Went 34
100Hit
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jayden Higgins
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
34
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
a very intriguing second round type of player (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Armand Membou to be picked “a chance he could go in the top ten” (picks 1–10)
“there's. A chance there's a chance he could go in the top ten in, THIS draft”
Armand Membou
Went 7
100Hit
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
a chance he could go in the top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Brady Cook to be picked “not going to get drafted”
“Yeah, he's not gonna get drafted.”
Brady Cook
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked “top fifty”
“one of the two Ohio state running backs that we'll get taken top fifty, I would say”
TreVeyon Henderson
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Quinshon Judkins to be picked “top fifty”
“one of the two Ohio state running backs that we'll get taken top fifty, I would say”
Quinshon Judkins
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls3 hitsShow ▸

Luke McCaffrey to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Luke McCaffrey Washington Commanders
No. 5called No. 3 · by receptions
83.33Hit
83.33 − 100 naive = −16.67 × 2 difficulty = −33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
−33.33
player:
Luke McCaffrey
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
5
actual slot:
5
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Terry McLaurin Washington Commanders
No. 2called No. 1 · by receptions
91.67Hit
91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
0
player:
Terry McLaurin
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Deebo Samuel Sr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one”
Deebo Samuel Sr.Washington Commanders
No. 1called No. 2 · by receptions
91.67Hit
91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
0
player:
Deebo Samuel Sr.
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?