Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 28, 2025
Rosenthal called Alabama linebacker Jihad Campbell a first-round pick, said Trey Smith and Tee Higgins will not reach free agency, and predicted Matthew Stafford ends up with either the Raiders or Rams rather than the Giants.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI know teams don't want to draft three down linebackers too early, so he's he's a first round pick.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Day 1 Combine Standouts and Players to Watch with Nate Tice and Nick Shook
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidFeb 28, 2025
- GradedAug 7–Oct 8, 2026
- 1Trey Smith to stay with Kansas City Chiefs“And Trey Smith number two on my top one on one. He will not make it to free agency.”
- 2Tee Higgins to stay put“He will not make it to free agency. Neither will t Higgins, who's number one.”
- 3Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)“I know teams don't want to draft three down linebackers too early, so he's he's a first round pick. We'll see how high he goes.”
- 4Matthew Stafford to move — “Raiders or Rams”“To me, it feels nick and I'll end my long rant here that it's Raiders or Rams. I'd be kind of stunned if the Giants end up getting this thing done”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Smith to stay with Kansas City Chiefs1 | Trade and Signing Calls | Ended up with KC | 100 | 55 | +90 | |
| Tee Higgins to stay put2 | Trade and Signing Calls | Ended up with CIN | 100 | 55 | +90 | |
| Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)3 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 31 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Matthew Stafford to move — “Raiders or Rams”4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 53.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 53.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsTrey SmithKansas City Chiefs
Trey Smith to stay with Kansas City Chiefs
What happenedEnded up with KC100Hit · naive 55100this call−55a naive guess=45better than naive×2difficulty=+90skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 90
- player:
- Trey Smith
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- KC
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 55
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- KC
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Trade and Signing CallsTee Higgins
Tee Higgins to stay put
What happenedEnded up with CIN100Hit · naive 55100this call−55a naive guess=45better than naive×2difficulty=+90skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 90
- player:
- Tee Higgins
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- CIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 55
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- CIN
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Mock Draft PicksJihaad Campbell
Jihaad Campbell to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 31100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jihaad Campbell
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round pick (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Trade and Signing CallsMatthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford to move — “Raiders or Rams”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 53.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.