Henry Olsen· Nov 1, 2024
Reviewing early-vote data, Olsen said Nevada is the state where the numbers look best for Republicans and that he would give the GOP a slight edge there in the presidential race, while cautioning it is far from settled.
“It's probably the best indicative state for a Republican win, but it is not at all anything that will will let me do more than say, maybe I'll give them a slight edge.”
said on air, transcribed by us · RealClearPolitics Podcast · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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- Race WinnersNov 1, 2024
“Nevada is probably the single best state for early voting news for Republicans, but it still does not mean you say it's over... It's probably the best indicative state for a Republican win, but it is not at all anything that will will let me do more than say, maybe I'll give them a slight edge if I'm on a betting market today.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2024-president-nv
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- 100
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- in their words:
- maybe I'll give them a slight edge
- result from:
- fec-2024-president
- who won:
- Donald Trump
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Donald Trump
- days before the vote when called:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
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