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Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 12, 2026

Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 6 waiting
42.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
42.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I trust Jordan Love more than I do Kirk Cousins, so we'll take the Packers in a close, low-scoring game.
Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 10 picks: Our experts face off on Commanders at Giants, Vikings at Packers and more
The original
Read the original
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  1. SaidNov 12
  2. PlayedNov 12
  3. GradedNov 13
  1. 1New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14“Prediction: Giants 20, Commanders 14”
  2. 2Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 14“Prediction: Packers 17, Vikings 14”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Falcons 16“Prediction: Chiefs 27, Falcons 16”
  4. 4San Francisco 49ers 34 — Cowboys 23“Prediction: 49ers 34, Cowboys 23”
  5. 5Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Steelers 20“Prediction: Bengals 23, Steelers 20”
  6. 6Baltimore Ravens 24 — Chargers 20“Prediction: Ravens 24, Chargers 20”
  7. 7Detroit Lions 30 — Patriots 21“Prediction: Lions 30, Patriots 21”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Giants 20 — Commanders 141Score PredictionsCommanders 24–2142.8642.81+0.08
Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 142Score Predictions————
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Falcons 163Score Predictions————
San Francisco 49ers 34 — Cowboys 234Score Predictions————
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Steelers 205Score Predictions————
Baltimore Ravens 24 — Chargers 206Score Predictions————
Detroit Lions 30 — Patriots 217Score Predictions————
7 calls · 1 close call · 6 waiting42.942.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 42.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsNew York Giants

    New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14

    What happenedCommanders 24–21called Giants by 6 · lost by 3
    42.86Close · naive 42.81
    42.86this call42.81a naive guess0.05better than naive1.5difficulty+0.08skill

    Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (34).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-21
    skill:
    0.08
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    42.81
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    −0.02
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 14

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Falcons 16

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers 34 — Cowboys 23

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Score PredictionsCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Steelers 20

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Score PredictionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens 24 — Chargers 20

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  7. 7Score PredictionsDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions 30 — Patriots 21

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

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