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Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 12, 2026

Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 1 waiting
42.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
42.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
In the end, I trust Jordan Love more than I do Kirk Cousins, so we'll take the Packers in a close, low-scoring game.
Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Pick Six: What to know about the NFL after the trade deadline, ahead of Week 10
The original
Read the original
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Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidNov 12
  2. PlayedNov 12
  3. GradedNov 13
  1. 1New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14“Jared Dubin's pick: Giants 20-14 over Commanders”
  2. 2Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 14“Jared Dubin — Packers 17-14 over Vikings (+3.5).”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Giants 20 — Commanders 141Score PredictionsCommanders 24–2142.8642.81+0.08
Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 142Score Predictions————
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 waiting42.942.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 42.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsNew York Giants

    New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14

    What happenedCommanders 24–21called Giants by 6 · lost by 3
    42.86Close · naive 42.81
    42.86this call42.81a naive guess0.05better than naive1.5difficulty+0.08skill

    Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (34).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-21
    skill:
    0.08
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    42.81
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    −0.02
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 17 — Vikings 14

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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