Is Lakshya Jain accurate? Across 58 graded calls in 4 articles, Lakshya Jain scores 49.99% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.38, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
49.99%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
6.38
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
58
Graded calls
across 4 articles. 6 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 58
3 of 4 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 2.
“She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-wi
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
the narrowest of favorites
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president-pa
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
the narrowest of favorites
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania
decided in the:
general
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“Our forecast yet again gives Kamala Harris a 53% chance of winning the Electoral College.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
race:
2024-president
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
a 53% chance of winning the Electoral College
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:
electoral-college
they said:
Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-ga
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
a slight edge
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia
decided in the:
general
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-az
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Democratic
in their words:
a slight edge
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in Arizona
decided in the:
general
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
race:
2024-president-nc
election year:
2024
skill:
0
topic:
elections
held going in by:
Republican
in their words:
a slight edge
result from:
fec-2024-president
who won:
Donald Trump
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
race name:
2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina
decided in the:
general
they said:
Donald Trump
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
“Democrats remain marginally favored to flip the chamber, but at 52%, this race is tighter than ever before... we'd probably pick the Democrats if we had to”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-101 skill
How this was scored
right:
no
election year:
2024
skill:
-101
topic:
elections
in their words:
Democrats remain marginally favored to flip the chamber, but at 52%
result from:
house: Office of the Historian, U.S. House of Representatives, Party Divisions of the House of Representatives (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Party-Divisions/Party-Divisions/)
chamber:
2024-house
who controls it:
Republican
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
they said:
Democratic
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
1.01
the naive guess:
the party in control going in keeps it
“Our Senate update should come as no surprise, as Republicans remain significant favorites to flip the chamber.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+101 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
election year:
2024
skill:
101
topic:
elections
in their words:
Republicans remain significant favorites to flip the chamber
result from:
senate: United States Senate, Party Division (https://www.senate.gov/history/partydiv.htm)
chamber:
2024-senate
who controls it:
Republican
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
they said:
Republican
days before the vote when called:
9
difficulty:
1.01
the naive guess:
the party in control going in keeps it
Election Day:
“She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada”