Nick Shook

Nick Shook covers the NFL across multiple platforms, appearing on the Around the NFL and Move the Sticks podcasts. His work spans draft analysis, offensive line breakdowns, and weekly power rankings, with a particular eye for position battles and combine evaluations.

Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)

Every take from Nick Shook, including the ones still waiting →

Is Nick Shook accurate? Across 70 graded calls in 15 articles, Nick Shook scores 65.37% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0.33, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

65.37%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

0.33

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 15 articles. 48 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

97.83% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 70

7 of 15 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 3.

Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers.Oct 28, 2025
- Breece Hall to move to Los Angeles Chargers
  “I'm gonna I'm gonna send him to the Chargers because they are gonna get on Omrion Hampton back, but their current state of their backfield... they could use a guy like Breize Hall”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -156
  player:
  Breece Hall
  season:
  2025
  claimed:
  LAC
  was with:
  NYJ
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  1.56
  the naive guess:
  he stays where he is
  weeks in the season:
  18
  ended up with:
  NYJ
  weeks left when called:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
Shook lays out the Giants' quarterback pecking order with Russell Wilson starting, Jameis Winston as the veteran backup and Jackson Dart third, predicts Abdul Carter beats out Kayvon Thibodeaux for the Giants' starting edge job, and assumes Tyler Shough wins the Saints' quarterback job.5 graded calls · Jul 21, 2025
- Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I would assume Shuck. Yeah, investments in him.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NO
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Tyler Shough
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart
  “Jameis is gonna be your backup, veteran backup”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Jameis Winston
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  83.33
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Russ is gonna win the job because it's gonna be his job.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Russell Wilson
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jaxson Dart to be 3rd on the depth chart
  “and Dart's gonna be the ooh. I don't know, we don't know anything about him... But I think for now that's the way it lines up.”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Jaxson Dart
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Abdul Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
  “I think Carter wins this job, and I think it applies pressure to Thibodeau”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYG
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Abdul Carter
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  LB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  defensive snaps
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
In a 20-pick draft of the best running backs for 2025, Nick Shook used his ten selections (overall picks 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) on Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, De'Von Achane and David Montgomery. He also predicted Derrick Henry would top 1,000 rushing yards again as Baltimore's bell cow.3 graded calls · Jun 23, 2025
- “Nick Shook's picks in the running back draft: 1st Saquon Barkley, 3rd Derrick Henry, 5th Josh Jacobs, 7th Christian McCaffrey, 9th James Cook, 11th Jonathan Taylor, 13th Alvin Kamara, 15th Joe Mixon, 17th De'Von Achane, 19th David Montgomery.”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 50+20 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  a coin-flip ordering scores 50
  skill:
  20
  placed:
  9
  season:
  2025
  players:
  10
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  50
  by position:
  RB 9: 60
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  could not place:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Derrick Henry to record 1,000 rushing yards
  “He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
  Miss · 25Scored 25.39a naive guess scored 44.19-37.59 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  1149.89
  skill:
  -37.59
  what happened:
  1595
  player:
  Derrick Henry
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  25.39
  baseline:
  44.19
  predicted:
  1000
  statistic:
  rushing_yards
  difficulty:
  2
  last season:
  1921
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  position average:
  378.78
  zero at percent out:
  50
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Derrick Henry to be 1st on the depth chart
  “He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  BAL
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Derrick Henry
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  RB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  rushing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.3 graded calls · May 13, 2025
- “But I love what the Ravens have in safety right now... But we're gonna go safeties because the top tier, you know, potential with these guys and who they have at safety in Houston”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  best:
  HOU
  unit:
  safety
  skill:
  -200
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “That's the best receiver group in my opinion. It's not the Bengals, it's the Buccaneers... Okay, let's go receiver again... come on down, Minnesota Vikings.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  best:
  NE
  unit:
  wide_receiver
  skill:
  200
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jordan Addison to be 2nd on the depth chart
  “you know what you have in Jordan Adison, who I think is one of the best number two receivers in the NFL”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  MIN
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jordan Addison
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. He also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.3 graded calls · Apr 9, 2025
- Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)
  “So won't be a first round pick, but is going to be a guy that I'm gonna pay a lot of attention to you because I think his upside is very much being slept on right now.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Joshua Gray
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  undrafted
  outcome:
  went undrafted in 2025; later signed with ATL
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  undrafted
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  0
  predicted pick:
  won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)
  “It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard... solid tackle, All Pro guard.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  made:
  no
  naive:
  he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Will Campbell
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  selection:
  all_pro_first_team
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
  “On what planet do they not win nine games this year? I'm sorry, I just have a hard time believing that”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+90 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  MIN
  naive:
  11.25
  skill:
  90
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  55
  predicted:
  9
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Nick Shook offered draft projections from the combine: Bhayshul Tuten will go earlier than expected, Nick Emmanwori is a first-round pick and the first safety drafted, Maxwell Hairston will be the first cornerback off the board, and Malaki Starks may have snuck into the first round. He also predicted Will Campbell profiles as a top-five guard in the NFL despite his short arms.5 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025
- Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
  “he's got the potential to be an all pro guard because he wins with, his feet not with. His arms”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NE
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Will Campbell
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  T
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  offensive snaps
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Nick Emmanwori to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
  “yeah he's the first, round pick he's the first safety out, the board”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Nick Emmanwori
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  35
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  87.81
  predicted pick:
  first round pick (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Maxwell Hairston to be 1st cornerback off the board
  “I think he's going to be the first one off the board at the position and he makes the team”
  Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 17.91+52.8 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  naming one of the 23 at random averages 17.91
  skill:
  52.8
  player:
  Maxwell Hairston
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  credit halves every two places
  accuracy:
  70.71
  baseline:
  17.91
  position:
  cornerback
  class size:
  23
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual order:
  2
  predicted order:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Nick Emmanwori to be 1st safety off the board
  “he's the first safety out, the board”
  Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 19.61+51.1 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  naming one of the 21 at random averages 19.61
  skill:
  51.1
  player:
  Nick Emmanwori
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  credit halves every two places
  accuracy:
  70.71
  baseline:
  19.61
  position:
  safety
  class size:
  21
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual order:
  2
  predicted order:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Malaki Starks to be picked “may have snuck into the first round” (picks 1–32)
  “he may have snuck into the first round”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Malaki Starks
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  27
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  may have snuck into the first round (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Shook, watching the defensive line workouts in Indianapolis, projected Ohio State's Tyleik Williams as a late first-round to Day 2 pick and Indiana's CJ West as an early Round 2-3 selection who could slide later.Feb 28, 2025
- Tyleik Williams to be picked “sneaking into the back end of the first round; if anything, he's a day two guy” (picks 1–32)
  “I could see him sneaking into the back end of the first round... But if anything, he's a day too. Guy”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Tyleik Williams
  season:
  2024
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  28
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  sneaking into the back end of the first round; if anything, he's a day two guy (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Shook

Graded calls · 70

7 of 15 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 3.

Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers.Oct 28, 2025

Breece Hall to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“I'm gonna I'm gonna send him to the Chargers because they are gonna get on Omrion Hampton back, but their current state of their backfield... they could use a guy like Breize Hall”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-156
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2025
claimed:
LAC
was with:
NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1.56
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
NYJ
weeks left when called:
10
Think this grade is wrong?

Shook lays out the Giants' quarterback pecking order with Russell Wilson starting, Jameis Winston as the veteran backup and Jackson Dart third, predicts Abdul Carter beats out Kayvon Thibodeaux for the Giants' starting edge job, and assumes Tyler Shough wins the Saints' quarterback job.5 graded calls · Jul 21, 2025

Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
“I would assume Shuck. Yeah, investments in him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NO
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Jameis is gonna be your backup, veteran backup”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jameis Winston
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
83.33
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Russ is gonna win the job because it's gonna be his job.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
0
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxson Dart to be 3rd on the depth chart
“and Dart's gonna be the ooh. I don't know, we don't know anything about him... But I think for now that's the way it lines up.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Abdul Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think Carter wins this job, and I think it applies pressure to Thibodeau”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
LB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
defensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

In a 20-pick draft of the best running backs for 2025, Nick Shook used his ten selections (overall picks 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) on Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, De'Von Achane and David Montgomery. He also predicted Derrick Henry would top 1,000 rushing yards again as Baltimore's bell cow.3 graded calls · Jun 23, 2025

“Nick Shook's picks in the running back draft: 1st Saquon Barkley, 3rd Derrick Henry, 5th Josh Jacobs, 7th Christian McCaffrey, 9th James Cook, 11th Jonathan Taylor, 13th Alvin Kamara, 15th Joe Mixon, 17th De'Von Achane, 19th David Montgomery.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 50+20 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
20
placed:
9
season:
2025
players:
10
accuracy:
60
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 9: 60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Derrick Henry to record 1,000 rushing yards
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Miss · 25Scored 25.39a naive guess scored 44.19-37.59 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1149.89
skill:
-37.59
what happened:
1595
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2025
accuracy:
25.39
baseline:
44.19
predicted:
1000
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1921
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
378.78
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Derrick Henry to be 1st on the depth chart
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
BAL
skill:
0
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.3 graded calls · May 13, 2025

“But I love what the Ravens have in safety right now... But we're gonna go safeties because the top tier, you know, potential with these guys and who they have at safety in Houston”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
best:
HOU
unit:
safety
skill:
-200
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
“That's the best receiver group in my opinion. It's not the Bengals, it's the Buccaneers... Okay, let's go receiver again... come on down, Minnesota Vikings.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
best:
NE
unit:
wide_receiver
skill:
200
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordan Addison to be 2nd on the depth chart
“you know what you have in Jordan Adison, who I think is one of the best number two receivers in the NFL”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
0
player:
Jordan Addison
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. He also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.3 graded calls · Apr 9, 2025

Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“So won't be a first round pick, but is going to be a guy that I'm gonna pay a lot of attention to you because I think his upside is very much being slept on right now.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Joshua Gray
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2025; later signed with ATL
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)
“It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard... solid tackle, All Pro guard.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
made:
no
naive:
he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
skill:
-200
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
selection:
all_pro_first_team
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
“On what planet do they not win nine games this year? I'm sorry, I just have a hard time believing that”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 55+90 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
90
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
55
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Shook offered draft projections from the combine: Bhayshul Tuten will go earlier than expected, Nick Emmanwori is a first-round pick and the first safety drafted, Maxwell Hairston will be the first cornerback off the board, and Malaki Starks may have snuck into the first round. He also predicted Will Campbell profiles as a top-five guard in the NFL despite his short arms.5 graded calls · Mar 3, 2025

Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's got the potential to be an all pro guard because he wins with, his feet not with. His arms”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
-16.67
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Nick Emmanwori to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“yeah he's the first, round pick he's the first safety out, the board”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Maxwell Hairston to be 1st cornerback off the board
“I think he's going to be the first one off the board at the position and he makes the team”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 17.91+52.8 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 23 at random averages 17.91
skill:
52.8
player:
Maxwell Hairston
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
17.91
position:
cornerback
class size:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Nick Emmanwori to be 1st safety off the board
“he's the first safety out, the board”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 19.61+51.1 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 21 at random averages 19.61
skill:
51.1
player:
Nick Emmanwori
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
19.61
position:
safety
class size:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Malaki Starks to be picked “may have snuck into the first round” (picks 1–32)
“he may have snuck into the first round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Malaki Starks
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
may have snuck into the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Shook, watching the defensive line workouts in Indianapolis, projected Ohio State's Tyleik Williams as a late first-round to Day 2 pick and Indiana's CJ West as an early Round 2-3 selection who could slide later.Feb 28, 2025

Tyleik Williams to be picked “sneaking into the back end of the first round; if anything, he's a day two guy” (picks 1–32)
“I could see him sneaking into the back end of the first round... But if anything, he's a day too. Guy”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Tyleik Williams
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
sneaking into the back end of the first round; if anything, he's a day two guy (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?