Nick Shook#67 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 9, 2025

Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. They also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

52.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 4Settled2 still waiting

#67Nick Shook’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Shook said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard.

Nick Shook, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode: Early Win Totals Takeaways and OL Draft Preview
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidApr 9, 2025
GradedAug 7, 2026

1Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)“So won't be a first round pick, but is going to be a guy that I'm gonna pay a lot of attention to you because I think his upside is very much being slept on right now.”
2Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins“On what planet do they not win nine games this year? I'm sorry, I just have a hard time believing that”
3Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board“So I think he's one of those first two tackles coming off of the board”
4Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)“It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard... solid tackle, All Pro guard.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)¹	Mock Draft Picks	Went undrafted	100	50	—
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins²	Season Win Totals	9	100	55	+90
Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board³	Position Order Calls	—	—	—	—
Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)⁴	Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls	—	—	—	—
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting			100	52.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 52.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Minnesota Vikings · 2025 season · wins

Nick Shook — 9 winsthe room — 9 calls from 7 punditsmedian 9 winswhat happened — 9 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)They said

undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Mock Draft Picks Joshua Gray
Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent undrafted
100Hit · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Joshua Gray
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2025; later signed with ATL
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
won't be a first round pick (NOT picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
2Season Win Totals Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
What happened9called 9
100Hit · naive 55
100this call55a naive guess45better than naive2difficulty+90skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
11.25
skill:
90
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
55
they said:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Position Order Calls Armand Membou
Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
4Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls Will Campbell
Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 52.5

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team.

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Joe Marino · Position Order Calls · Arvell Reese · Hit 100
Marino stacks 14 inside linebackers in the 2026 NFL draft class and assigns each a round-value grade, with Sonny Styles first (top-10 grade) and Anthony Hill third; they say Hill would be their preferred pick if Buffalo takes a linebacker at No. 26.
Ian Rapoport · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. They also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million.
Peter Schrager · Position Order Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Close 71
Schrager laid out their top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.
Matty Lane · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Hit 100
Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job.
Daniel Jeremiah · Position Order Calls · Spencer Fano · Close 71
Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.
Andrew Erickson · Position Order Calls · Olaivavega Ioane · Hit 100
Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted.