Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show and Overreaction Monday, where he covers the NFL with weekly power rankings, game previews and roster debates. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, draft positioning and player awards across the league.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 463 graded calls in 126 articles, Rich Eisen scores 59.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.14, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

59.61%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

463

Graded calls

across 126 articles. 327 more not yet settled.

97.15% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 463

17 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 13.

Eisen endorsed four Ohio State players going in the top 10 (with Arvel Reese no lower than seventh), listed Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, Miami's left tackle, Penn State's interior guard and Bailey as top-10 picks, said Love won't get out of the top five, and agreed Mendoza's rookie numbers would beat Brady's 2001 line and that Mike Evans will leave Tampa to chase a ring.9 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026
- Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Caleb Downs
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  11
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arvell Reese to be picked “top five; at lowest No. 7” (picks 1–5)
  “Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top five; at lowest No. 7 (picks 1–5)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.”
  Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Olaivavega Ioane
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  84.09
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  14
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  84.09
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  David Bailey
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Francis Mauigoa
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  10
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Mendoza goes in the top 10.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
  “I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Jeremiyah Love
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  3
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top five (picks 1–5)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Then you look at Sonny Styles and all those mocks of him being twelfth overall... it's up in smoke.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Sonny Styles
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  7
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “had had all four guys going in the top 10... It had Tate at ten... I don't think this is an overreaction.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Carnell Tate
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  4
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen called Fernando Mendoza the de facto first overall pick of the draft.Feb 27, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “One is obviously the, de facto first overall selection in Fernando Mendoza, and then there's you who played in the final game of college football this year.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and predicts four Ohio State players — Cornell Tate, Caleb Downs, Sonny Styles and Arvel Reese — will be selected inside the top 10.5 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026
- Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Styles goes... We love his top 10. Right? Like, there's no question he he doesn't come out of the top 10.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Sonny Styles
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  7
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... And Reese.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... Downs could go.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Caleb Downs
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  11
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... that Tate could go.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Carnell Tate
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  4
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “The first overall pick in the draft was at the podium this morning. Correct? Alright. So Fernando Mendoza will check the box.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.7 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026
- Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
  “Mau and Noah, Miami is going top 10.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Francis Mauigoa
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  10
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
  “How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Sonny Styles
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  7
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs
  “I'll go Kirk Cousins... Because he might stay somehow, stay in in Atlanta. So you're saying the Vikings are making the playoffs next year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  MIN
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
  “How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
  “But it's gonna be JJ McCarthy's gig... JJ McCarthy starting week one onward.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  MIN
  skill:
  8.33
  player:
  J.J. McCarthy
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
  “How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Caleb Downs
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  11
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
  “And then Tate might be the first wide receiver taken.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
  skill:
  90.52
  player:
  Carnell Tate
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  credit halves every two places
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  9.48
  position:
  wide receiver
  class size:
  36
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual order:
  1
  predicted order:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen believes the Raiders have no choice but to take Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick, and he thinks Oregon tight end Kenyan Saddiq will be off the board before the Patriots pick at No. 31.Feb 26, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “I think he has to hold the number one spot. I think the Raiders do it. I don't think the Raiders can do anything else.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said he wouldn't be surprised if Arvell Reese went second overall to the Jets, and predicted Deshaun Watson will be the Browns' starting quarterback rather than Shedeur Sanders.Feb 25, 2026
- Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
  “R. L. Reese, who could be potentially a New York Jet number two overall based on some mock drafts... And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  87.81
  predicted pick:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen said he believes Fernando Mendoza will be the first overall pick, taken by the Las Vegas Raiders.Feb 24, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “the biggest story of this combine coming in isn't, you know, the first overall selection because it's Fernando Mendoza. I think it's going to be him.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen relayed and endorsed the take that Breece Hall signs with the Arizona Cardinals and leads the league in rushing, saying it totally makes sense.Feb 23, 2026
- Breece Hall to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
  “Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... Totally makes sense.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 41.67-41.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -41.67
  player:
  Breece Hall
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  41.67
  position:
  RB
  ranked by:
  rushing yards
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  22
  actual finish:
  15
  weeks left when called:
  0
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen power ranked the 10 teams with new head coaches by their chances of a Mike Vrabel-style turnaround, with Baltimore first and Arizona last. He also predicted Kirk Cousins would be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, expected Deshaun Watson to start in Cleveland, and named the Titans as a team he likes.2 graded calls · Feb 18, 2026
- “The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make a Vrabel like turnaround... Somebody's gotta be tenth and I'm putting the cardinals here... Because you know number one is Baltimore.”
  Hit · 85Scored 85.45a naive guess scored 86.67-1.21 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -1.21
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  85.45
  baseline:
  86.67
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
  “Who's quarterback? I think it's Cousins. I think they're gonna figure out a way to keep him... And he starts week one? Yeah. I bet you.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  ATL
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Kirk Cousins
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Asked to rank the 2024 quarterback draft class two years in, Rich Eisen put Caleb Williams first, Drake Maye second, Jayden Daniels third, Bo Nix fourth and JJ McCarthy/Michael Penix fifth. He also expects JJ McCarthy to start Week 1 next season and guesses Atlanta finds a way to keep Kirk Cousins.Feb 13, 2026
- J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
  “And then there's JJ McCarthy, who I think is gonna start week one of next year.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  MIN
  skill:
  8.33
  player:
  J.J. McCarthy
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen delivered his final NFL power rankings of the season, a top 10 with the Super Bowl champion Seahawks first, the Rams second and the Patriots third, ahead of the Bears, Broncos, 49ers, Bills, Packers, Texans and Jaguars.Feb 11, 2026
- “Seahawks, Rams, Pats, Bears, Broncos, Niners, Bills, Packers, Texans, Jaguars, my final NFL power rankings.”
  Close · 73Scored 73.33a naive guess scored 41.21+32.12 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  32.12
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  73.33
  baseline:
  41.21
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen defends the Patriots' selection of Will Campbell but expects him to move inside and play guard going forward.Feb 9, 2026
- Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
  “the conversation was a lot about, hey. He should he might kick inside, and he might. Well, I think he he's get ready for a career at left guard.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NE
  skill:
  -8.33
  player:
  Will Campbell
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  T
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  measured by:
  offensive snaps
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
While running through his Super Bowl 60 storyline rankings, Eisen asserted that Drake Maye will become the youngest quarterback ever to win a Super Bowl, i.e. that the Patriots will win Super Bowl 60.Jan 29, 2026
- New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
  “Drake May gets drafted in New England, loses, wins only four games year one. Year two, boom. It's obvious he's the man. There's no bust here in New England. As a matter of fact, he's gonna bust every norm and become the youngest kid to ever win the Super Bowl at quarterback.”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  50
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen agreed that Matthew Stafford will win MVP after the best year of his career.Jan 26, 2026
- Matthew Stafford to win MVP
  “He had the best year of his career. He was never a first team all pro. Check that box. Yep. I think he's gonna be the MVP.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  100
  player:
  Matthew Stafford
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen restated his Thanksgiving pick of the Rams to win the Super Bowl and said he is staying with them, citing Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay among the remaining coach-quarterback pairings.Jan 19, 2026
- Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
  “I picked the Rams to win the Super Bowl I think top to bottom they get. At Thanksgiving, and they didn't get off him. So I'm gonna be on him right now.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Eisen ranked his top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth.Jan 16, 2026
- “Top five defenses left in the National Football League playoffs presented by Hyundai... I'm putting the Rams fifth on my list right here... So I'm putting the Bills fourth on the list... I'm putting the Broncos here, third on the list... It's the Seattle Seahawks. They're two on the list... I'm putting the Texans number one.”
  Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 90-15 skill
  How this was scored
  best:
  DEN
  unit:
  defense
  skill:
  -15
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  75
  baseline:
  90
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  5
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Rich Eisen delivered his final traditional power rankings of the season, counting down the top 10 teams in reverse order and putting the Seahawks first, with the rest of the top four ordered by playoff seeding.Jan 7, 2026
- “The final power rankings of the season... The Buffalo Bills are tenth on this list. Number nine on the list... They're ninth on my power rankings list... Number eight... I'm putting the bears here... I'm putting the niners above them... The Houston Texans are six on the list... Up three spots into my top five. I'm putting the Rams back here... I have got the Jaguars fourth... And I have the Patriots right in front of them, and I've got the Broncos right in front of them... And they enter the playoffs atop my final power ranking. So there's that Seahawks fans.”
  Hit · 93Scored 92.73a naive guess scored 43.03+49.7 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  49.7
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  92.73
  baseline:
  43.03
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?

Rich Eisen

Graded calls · 463

17 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 13.

Eisen endorsed four Ohio State players going in the top 10 (with Arvel Reese no lower than seventh), listed Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, Miami's left tackle, Penn State's interior guard and Bailey as top-10 picks, said Love won't get out of the top five, and agreed Mendoza's rookie numbers would beat Brady's 2001 line and that Mike Evans will leave Tampa to chase a ring.9 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top five; at lowest No. 7” (picks 1–5)
“Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top five; at lowest No. 7 (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Mendoza goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Then you look at Sonny Styles and all those mocks of him being twelfth overall... it's up in smoke.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“had had all four guys going in the top 10... It had Tate at ten... I don't think this is an overreaction.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen called Fernando Mendoza the de facto first overall pick of the draft.Feb 27, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“One is obviously the, de facto first overall selection in Fernando Mendoza, and then there's you who played in the final game of college football this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and predicts four Ohio State players — Cornell Tate, Caleb Downs, Sonny Styles and Arvel Reese — will be selected inside the top 10.5 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026

Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Styles goes... We love his top 10. Right? Like, there's no question he he doesn't come out of the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... And Reese.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... Downs could go.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... that Tate could go.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“The first overall pick in the draft was at the podium this morning. Correct? Alright. So Fernando Mendoza will check the box.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.7 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026

Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Mau and Noah, Miami is going top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
“How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to make the playoffs
“I'll go Kirk Cousins... Because he might stay somehow, stay in in Atlanta. So you're saying the Vikings are making the playoffs next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
“How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
“But it's gonna be JJ McCarthy's gig... JJ McCarthy starting week one onward.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
8.33
player:
J.J. McCarthy
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
“How do you look at Sonny Styles and Arvel Rees and tonight Caleb Downs and not think that's three top 10 picks.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 picks (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“And then Tate might be the first wide receiver taken.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
skill:
90.52
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
9.48
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen believes the Raiders have no choice but to take Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick, and he thinks Oregon tight end Kenyan Saddiq will be off the board before the Patriots pick at No. 31.Feb 26, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“I think he has to hold the number one spot. I think the Raiders do it. I don't think the Raiders can do anything else.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said he wouldn't be surprised if Arvell Reese went second overall to the Jets, and predicted Deshaun Watson will be the Browns' starting quarterback rather than Shedeur Sanders.Feb 25, 2026

Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“R. L. Reese, who could be potentially a New York Jet number two overall based on some mock drafts... And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen said he believes Fernando Mendoza will be the first overall pick, taken by the Las Vegas Raiders.Feb 24, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“the biggest story of this combine coming in isn't, you know, the first overall selection because it's Fernando Mendoza. I think it's going to be him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen relayed and endorsed the take that Breece Hall signs with the Arizona Cardinals and leads the league in rushing, saying it totally makes sense.Feb 23, 2026

Breece Hall to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“Breece Hall is going to go to the Arizona Cardinals and lead the league in rushing... Totally makes sense.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 41.67-41.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-41.67
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
41.67
position:
RB
ranked by:
rushing yards
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
22
actual finish:
15
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen power ranked the 10 teams with new head coaches by their chances of a Mike Vrabel-style turnaround, with Baltimore first and Arizona last. He also predicted Kirk Cousins would be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, expected Deshaun Watson to start in Cleveland, and named the Titans as a team he likes.2 graded calls · Feb 18, 2026

“The power ranking of teams with new head coaches who could make a Vrabel like turnaround... Somebody's gotta be tenth and I'm putting the cardinals here... Because you know number one is Baltimore.”
Hit · 85Scored 85.45a naive guess scored 86.67-1.21 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-1.21
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
85.45
baseline:
86.67
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
“Who's quarterback? I think it's Cousins. I think they're gonna figure out a way to keep him... And he starts week one? Yeah. I bet you.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Asked to rank the 2024 quarterback draft class two years in, Rich Eisen put Caleb Williams first, Drake Maye second, Jayden Daniels third, Bo Nix fourth and JJ McCarthy/Michael Penix fifth. He also expects JJ McCarthy to start Week 1 next season and guesses Atlanta finds a way to keep Kirk Cousins.Feb 13, 2026

J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
“And then there's JJ McCarthy, who I think is gonna start week one of next year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
8.33
player:
J.J. McCarthy
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
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Eisen delivered his final NFL power rankings of the season, a top 10 with the Super Bowl champion Seahawks first, the Rams second and the Patriots third, ahead of the Bears, Broncos, 49ers, Bills, Packers, Texans and Jaguars.Feb 11, 2026

“Seahawks, Rams, Pats, Bears, Broncos, Niners, Bills, Packers, Texans, Jaguars, my final NFL power rankings.”
Close · 73Scored 73.33a naive guess scored 41.21+32.12 skill
How this was scored
skill:
32.12
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
73.33
baseline:
41.21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
0
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Eisen defends the Patriots' selection of Will Campbell but expects him to move inside and play guard going forward.Feb 9, 2026

Will Campbell to be 1st on the depth chart
“the conversation was a lot about, hey. He should he might kick inside, and he might. Well, I think he he's get ready for a career at left guard.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
-8.33
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
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While running through his Super Bowl 60 storyline rankings, Eisen asserted that Drake Maye will become the youngest quarterback ever to win a Super Bowl, i.e. that the Patriots will win Super Bowl 60.Jan 29, 2026

New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
“Drake May gets drafted in New England, loses, wins only four games year one. Year two, boom. It's obvious he's the man. There's no bust here in New England. As a matter of fact, he's gonna bust every norm and become the youngest kid to ever win the Super Bowl at quarterback.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Eisen agreed that Matthew Stafford will win MVP after the best year of his career.Jan 26, 2026

Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“He had the best year of his career. He was never a first team all pro. Check that box. Yep. I think he's gonna be the MVP.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Matthew Stafford
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Eisen restated his Thanksgiving pick of the Rams to win the Super Bowl and said he is staying with them, citing Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay among the remaining coach-quarterback pairings.Jan 19, 2026

Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“I picked the Rams to win the Super Bowl I think top to bottom they get. At Thanksgiving, and they didn't get off him. So I'm gonna be on him right now.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Eisen ranked his top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth.Jan 16, 2026

“Top five defenses left in the National Football League playoffs presented by Hyundai... I'm putting the Rams fifth on my list right here... So I'm putting the Bills fourth on the list... I'm putting the Broncos here, third on the list... It's the Seattle Seahawks. They're two on the list... I'm putting the Texans number one.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 90-15 skill
How this was scored
best:
DEN
unit:
defense
skill:
-15
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
90
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
5
weeks left when called:
0
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Rich Eisen delivered his final traditional power rankings of the season, counting down the top 10 teams in reverse order and putting the Seahawks first, with the rest of the top four ordered by playoff seeding.Jan 7, 2026

“The final power rankings of the season... The Buffalo Bills are tenth on this list. Number nine on the list... They're ninth on my power rankings list... Number eight... I'm putting the bears here... I'm putting the niners above them... The Houston Texans are six on the list... Up three spots into my top five. I'm putting the Rams back here... I have got the Jaguars fourth... And I have the Patriots right in front of them, and I've got the Broncos right in front of them... And they enter the playoffs atop my final power ranking. So there's that Seahawks fans.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.73a naive guess scored 43.03+49.7 skill
How this was scored
skill:
49.7
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
92.73
baseline:
43.03
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?