Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 28, 2026

Eisen argued the Patriots won't win a game until Week 8, meaning losses to Buffalo, Las Vegas, the Jets and Chicago, while calling Cincinnati a lock for the playoffs and Minnesota a 12-win division favorite whose defense carries them regardless of quarterback.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 misses · 4 waiting

25Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.

Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 3's Top Storylines
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 28
PlayedOct 4–22
GradedOct 5–23

1Chicago Bears to beat patriots“With a, Thursday night visit to Chicago in week seven. Yeah. I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.”
2New York Jets to beat patriots“and the Jets are definitely a better team... I don't see a win there until week eight.”
3Las Vegas Raiders to beat patriots“And after that, you know, in comes Vegas... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.”
4Buffalo Bills to beat patriots“because the bills are definitely the proverbial offensive wagon... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.”
5Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs“And this is absolutely a playoff team... This is a team that's absolutely making the playoffs and not winning the division.”
6Minnesota Vikings to win the division“And in terms of winning the division and and making the playoffs, and that they're the NFC North favorites there, it's tough to argue that”
7Kyle Hamilton to stay with Baltimore Ravens“he's got the right coach for the rest of his career, and he won't go anywhere and neither will Minter.”
8Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins“I mean, that looks like twelve and five minimum. I mean, so I can't push back on this one.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Chicago Bears to beat patriots¹	Game Outcome Picks	Bears 30–24	100	100	0
New York Jets to beat patriots²	Game Outcome Picks	Patriots 26–19	0	100	−189
Las Vegas Raiders to beat patriots³	Game Outcome Picks	Patriots 45–17	0	100	−189
Buffalo Bills to beat patriots⁴	Game Outcome Picks	Patriots 29–26	0	0	0
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs⁵	Playoff Picks	—	—	—	—
Minnesota Vikings to win the division⁶	Division Winners	—	—	—	—
Kyle Hamilton to stay with Baltimore Ravens⁷	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins⁸	Season Win Totals	—	—	—	—
8 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · 4 waiting			25	75

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 25 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat patriots
What happenedBears 30–24Patriots at Bears
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
24-30
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks New York Jets
New York Jets to beat patriots
What happenedPatriots 26–19Jets at Patriots
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
19-26
skill:
−189
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
3Game Outcome Picks Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to beat patriots
What happenedPatriots 45–17Raiders at Patriots
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
17-45
skill:
−189
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
4Game Outcome Picks Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat patriots
What happenedPatriots 29–26Patriots at Bills
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
Closing line (Oct 4): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (74%).
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
29-26
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this is wrong?
5Playoff Picks Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
6Division Winners Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
7Trade and Signing Calls Kyle Hamilton Baltimore Ravens
Kyle Hamilton to stay with Baltimore Ravens
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
8Season Win Totals Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
25naive 75

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.
Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.