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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

In the 'What's More Likely' segment, Eisen picked the Texans over the Bills to be crowned the AFC front runner by Monday morning, indicating he expected Houston to win their meeting.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Bills 36–31What happenedBills at Texans
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I'll go Texans. I'll go Texans.
Our reading: Houston Texans to beat Bills
The episode
Hour 3: Rich’s Top 5 NFL Week 1 Games, plus Chiefs Superfan Paul Rudd
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 11
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Bills

    What happenedBills 36–31Bills at Texans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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every pundit’s pick on each

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