Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
Across 6 graded calls in 2 articles, Sam Kienzle scores 67.26% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -0.61, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 6 calls · one square per call
4hits67% of graded
1Close17%
1misses17%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
6 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first. Every take from Sam Kienzle, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Sam Kienzle isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“I picked the La Rams as a Super Bowl champion. Wow, So I have to roll with them.”
Los Angeles Rams 24 — Seattle 21
“So I'm gonna say Rams win outright, twenty four twenty one”
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 24–21 calls a Rams win (by 3; the line gave the Rams 44%) and fewer points (45).
New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 13
“I'm going to say that the Patriots win and cover twenty to thirteen over the Broncos”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 20–13 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 7) and fewer points (33). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
“I will take the Chiefs to win with the Texans plus the points”
Closing line (Jan 18): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (81%).
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams
“and Sammy, I will take the Rams to cover. Eagles win, Rams cover.”
Closing line (Jan 19): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“I'm gonna take the Bills to win this game.”
Closing line (Jan 19): Ravens by 1.5 · a toss-up, Ravens 52%, Bills 48%.