Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)
Is Tim Miller accurate? Across 12 graded calls in 6 articles, Tim Miller scores 40.28% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 33.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ever since the debate ... And I think that she wins all four of those”
“I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ... And I think that she wins all four of those”
“And it's probably why Florida and Texas aren't gonna happen.”
“And it's probably why Florida and Texas aren't gonna happen.”
“I've felt that Nevada has continued to be ... a bulwark for the Democrats over and over again despite turnover and despite being close. And I think that she wins all four of those”
“I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ... And I think that she wins all four of those”
“But I think that Kamala Harris will win a narrow electoral college victory with 276 electoral votes.”
“that augers almost certainly well for Wisconsin. I I mean, Seltzer would have to be way off for Wisconsin to be wrong, to be, you know, out of Harris's column.”
“So I think sadly, we are stuck with the worst elder millennial for quite a while now, no matter what happens, but he will be sad next week.”
“Kamala Harris is the nominee. Kamala Harris is gonna be the next president. It is winning time.”
“it would take something very surprising, I think, for the Democrats to win the Montana senate race right now even though Jon Tester is a good candidate. It's just the nature of our polarized times.”
“she'll have a six three Supreme Court against her. She's gonna have a fifty one forty nine Republican Senate at best.”