Willie ColonJan 2, 2026
Colon picks their old team, the Steelers, to beat Baltimore, and takes San Francisco over Seattle behind CMC and Brock Purdy, plus Tampa Bay over Carolina.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Willie Colon said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromso I'm gonna pick the Pittsburgh Steelers
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens vs. Steelers preview, Miami beats Ohio Sate, Panthers vs. Bucs, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
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- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 2
- GradedAug 17
- 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers“Yeah. I got the butts... I expect baker to raise his level of play... I got the bucks.”
- 2Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Baltimore“Be the ultimate Judas, so I'm gonna pick the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
- 3San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks“I got the San Francisco forty niners, man, and I'm going with CMC... So I had the Niners. I see them beat the Seahawks.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Baltimore2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 66.7 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 3): Buccaneers by 3 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 58%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 14-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
2Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Baltimore
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · underdog pick, Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 24-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · underdog pick, 49ers 43%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 13-3
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 66.7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.Dalton Feely · Trade and Signing Calls · Chris Godwin Jr. · Hit 100
Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas.Eric Mangini · Game Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Miss 0
Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as their upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated their Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.