2026 U.S. House election in Texas's district 15
House · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Bobby Pulido (Democratic)Won—
- Monica De La Cruz (Republican, incumbent)—
Bobby Pulido by — in the general · held by the Republican party going in · flipped · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 16, 2026
- Bobby Pulido51.0%
- Monica De La Cruz44.0%
Bobby Pulido by 7.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 5 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · for San Antonio Express-News, El País, Puente News Collaborative | 2026-10-13 – 2026-10-16 | — LV | Bobby Pulido 51% · Monica De La Cruz 44% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (DEM) · for House Majority PAC | 2026-09-24 – 2026-09-28 | 400 LV | Bobby Pulido 54% · Monica De La Cruz 41% |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2026-07-27 – 2026-07-30 | 700 LV | Bobby Pulido 50% · Monica De La Cruz 45% |
| Applecart (DEM) · for WelcomePAC | 2026-05-18 – 2026-05-25 | 802 LV | Bobby Pulido 48% · Monica De La Cruz 46% |
| Public Policy Polling (DEM) · for House Majority PAC | 2025-09-10 – 2025-09-11 | 533 LV | Monica De La Cruz 41% · Bobby Pulido 38% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
No approved claim names this race yet.
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