Henry BrownSep 12, 2026
Brown argues that with A.J. Brown gone, DeVonta Smith becomes Philadelphia's top receiver, and that a thin Eagles pass-catching group plus Washington's new edge rushers could let the Commanders pull off a Week 1 upset in Philadelphia.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Henry Brown said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromsuch an event chain could open the visitors right up for just enough stops to fuel a scoring boom of their own in a season-opening surprise
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- One Favorable Commanders Matchup to Watch Against the Eagles
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 12
- PlayedSep 13
- GradedSep 15
- 1Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles“such an event chain could open the visitors right up for just enough stops to fuel a scoring boom of their own in a season-opening surprise”
- 2DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart“DeVonta Smith is the next man up to headline Jalen Hurts' favorite downfield playmakers, granting him his first-ever avenue to headline the Eagles' wideouts since his productive, pre-Brown rookie season”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles1 | Game Outcome Picks | Eagles 24–22 | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 0 | 100 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
DeVonta Smith · 2026 season22 calls from 12 pundits between 1 and 1. Henry Brown said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
What happenedEagles 24–22Commanders at Eagles0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillClosing line (Sep 13): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (32%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 22-24
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Depth Chart CallsDeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.