Jeff Kerr#68 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 7, 2026

Kerr judges Eagles camp overreactions: they doubt Jalen Hurts reaches 30 touchdown passes, thinks only one of Darius Cooper or Johnny Wilson makes the 53 (with Cooper leading the WR5 race), and expects Dallas Goedert to post double-digit receiving touchdowns again.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · 3 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

80A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5 of 8Settled3 still waiting

#68Jeff Kerr’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jeff Kerr said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think the Eagles keep five recievers and Cooper gets the nod right now.

Jeff Kerr, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Overreactions From Day 7 Of Eagles Training Camp: Jalen Hurts Throws 30 TD This Year?
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 7
GradedSep 25

1Dontayvion Wicks to make the roster“Smith, Wicks, and Lemon are locks”
2DeVonta Smith to make the roster“Smith, Wicks, and Lemon are locks”
3Makai Lemon to make the roster“Smith, Wicks, and Lemon are locks”
4Marquise Brown to make the roster“Brown isn't a lock but can't see the Eagles cutting him”
5Darius Cooper to make the roster“Cooepr is in the lead for the WR5 spot ... I think the Eagles keep five recievers and Cooper gets the nod right now.”
6DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart“how Smith is set to take off as WR1”
7Dallas Goedert to record 10 receiving tds“Dallas Goedert gets 10+ receiving TDs again. Overreaction or reality: Reality ... Don't be surprised if Goedert gets double-digit touchdowns again.”
8Darius Cooper to be 5th on the depth chart“Think that WR5 spot goes to either Cooper or Wilson, not both ... Cooepr is in the lead for the WR5 spot”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Dontayvion Wicks to make the roster¹	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
DeVonta Smith to make the roster²	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Makai Lemon to make the roster³	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	0	+200
Marquise Brown to make the roster⁴	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Darius Cooper to make the roster⁵	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart⁶	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
Dallas Goedert to record 10 receiving tds⁷	Player Season Numbers	—	—	—	—
Darius Cooper to be 5th on the depth chart⁸	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
8 calls · 5 hits · 3 waiting			100	80

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 5 roster spot calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

DeVonta Smith · 2026 season

Jeff Kerr — 1the room — 22 calls from 14 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

1Roster Spot Calls Dontayvion Wicks Philadelphia Eagles
Dontayvion Wicks to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
0
player:
Dontayvion Wicks
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Roster Spot Calls DeVonta Smith Philadelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
0
player:
DeVonta Smith
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Roster Spot Calls Makai Lemon Philadelphia Eagles
Makai Lemon to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
200
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
4Roster Spot Calls Marquise Brown Philadelphia Eagles
Marquise Brown to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
0
player:
Marquise Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
5Roster Spot Calls Darius Cooper Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Cooper to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
0
player:
Darius Cooper
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
6Depth Chart Calls DeVonta Smith Philadelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
7Player Season Numbers Dallas Goedert Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Goedert to record 10 receiving tds
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
8Depth Chart Calls Darius Cooper Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Cooper to be 5th on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 80

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Garrett Podell · Game Outcome Picks · Philadelphia Eagles · Miss 0
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More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.
Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.